# flares

issuetime: 2021-08-27T20:20:47Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-08-27T20:20:47Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-08-27T20:20:47Z</begin><end>2021-08-28T02:20:47Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>There is currently a data outage from GOES-16 since 27/0825UTC but based on the number and complexity of the sunspot regions currently on the visible disc, the probabilities are more or less the same.&#160;Further C-class flares are now expected, along with a chance (25%) of M-class flares.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2859</id><location time="2021-08-27T20:00:00Z">N18W04</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2860</id><location time="2021-08-27T20:00:00Z">S29E04</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.75</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2861</id><location time="2021-08-27T20:00:00Z">N16E40</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2862</id><location time="2021-08-27T20:00:00Z">S28W66</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-08-27T20:38:48Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-08-27T20:38:48Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-08-27T20:38:48Z</begin><end>2021-08-28T02:38:48Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>There is currently a data outage from GOES-16 since 27/0825UTC but based on the number and complexity of the sunspot regions currently on the visible disc, the probabilities are more or less the same.&#160;Further C-class flares are now expected, along with a chance (25%) of M-class flares.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2859</id><location time="2021-08-27T20:00:00Z">N18W04</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2860</id><location time="2021-08-27T20:00:00Z">S29E04</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.75</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2861</id><location time="2021-08-27T20:00:00Z">N16E40</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2862</id><location time="2021-08-27T20:00:00Z">S28W66</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-08-27T22:12:05Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-08-27T22:12:05Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-08-27T22:12:05Z</begin><end>2021-08-28T04:12:05Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>There is currently a data outage from GOES-16 since 27/0825UTC but based on the number and complexity of the sunspot regions currently on the visible disc, the probabilities are more or less the same.&#160;Further C-class flares are now expected, along with a chance (25%) of M-class flares.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2859</id><location time="2021-08-27T20:00:00Z">N18W04</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2860</id><location time="2021-08-27T20:00:00Z">S29E04</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.75</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2861</id><location time="2021-08-27T20:00:00Z">N16E40</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2862</id><location time="2021-08-27T20:00:00Z">S28W66</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-08-28T03:45:13Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-08-28T03:45:13Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-08-28T03:45:13Z</begin><end>2021-08-28T09:45:13Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>With 2860 continuing to grow there remains a chance (30%) of M-class flares.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2859</id><location time="2021-08-28T02:00:00Z">N18W08</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2860</id><location time="2021-08-28T02:00:00Z">S29E01</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.75</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2861</id><location time="2021-08-28T02:00:00Z">N16E36</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2862</id><location time="2021-08-28T02:00:00Z">S28W69</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-08-28T09:05:33Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-08-28T09:05:33Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-08-28T09:05:33Z</begin><end>2021-08-28T15:05:33Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>With 2860 continuing to grow there remains a chance (30%) of M-class flares.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.85</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2859</id><location time="2021-08-28T08:00:00Z">N18W11</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2860</id><location time="2021-08-28T08:00:00Z">S28E01</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2861</id><location time="2021-08-28T08:00:00Z">N16E33</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2862</id><location time="2021-08-28T08:00:00Z">S28W69</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-08-28T08:00:00Z">S18E33</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-08-28T14:57:13Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-08-28T14:57:13Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-08-28T14:57:13Z</begin><end>2021-08-28T20:57:13Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>With AR2860 continues to develop and grow, with a delta spot now appearing in the intermediate spots. This has now been classified as a Beta-Gamma-Delta/Eki, which is expected to produce further C-class flares, with an increased chance (40%) of M-class flares and a slight chance (5%) of a X-class flare.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.85</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2859</id><location time="2021-08-28T14:00:00Z">N18W14</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2860</id><location time="2021-08-28T14:00:00Z">S27E05</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-08-28T14:00:00Z">S18E33</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-08-28T20:12:15Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-08-28T20:12:15Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-08-28T20:12:15Z</begin><end>2021-08-29T02:12:15Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>A long duration M4.79 flare was observed at around 28/0611UTC, originating from AR2860. This was followed by several C-class flares, which lasted several hours. With AR2860 now facing Earth and being a large and mature Beta-Gamma-Delta/Eki region, the risk of further M-class flares is maintained at 40%, with a slight chance (5%) of a X-class flares.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.85</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2859</id><location time="2021-08-28T20:00:00Z">N18W16</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2860</id><location time="2021-08-28T20:00:00Z">S28E08</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2861</id><location time="2021-08-28T20:00:00Z">N16W27</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2862</id><location time="2021-08-28T20:00:00Z">S27E67</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-08-28T20:00:00Z">S18E33</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-08-29T02:03:49Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-08-29T02:03:49Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-08-29T02:03:49Z</begin><end>2021-08-29T08:03:49Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>A long duration M4.79 flare was observed at around 28/0611UTC, originating from AR2860. The background flux remained elevated after that with several C-class flares observed, the largest being a C7 at 29/0044UTC. With AR2860 now facing Earth and being a large and mature Beta-Gamma-Delta/Eki region, the risk of further M-class flares is maintained at 40%, with a slight chance (5%) of a X-class flares.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2859</id><location time="2021-08-29T02:00:00Z">N18W19</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2860</id><location time="2021-08-29T02:00:00Z">S28W05</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2862</id><location time="2021-08-29T02:00:00Z">S27W70</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-08-29T08:46:08Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-08-29T08:46:08Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-08-29T08:46:08Z</begin><end>2021-08-29T14:46:08Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Flare activity has reduced since the long duration M4 flare on 28th, with only C-class flares detected over the past 24 hours. A longer duration C7 flare around 29/0040 UTC does not appear to have generated a CME at this stage. AR2860 now facing Earth and with a continuing Beta-Gamma-Delta/Eki configuration, a chance of further M-class flares is maintained.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2859</id><location time="2021-08-29T08:00:00Z">N18W24</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2860</id><location time="2021-08-29T08:00:00Z">S27W15</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.79</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.34</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-08-29T14:35:41Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-08-29T14:35:41Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-08-29T14:35:41Z</begin><end>2021-08-29T20:35:41Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Flare activity has reduced since the long duration M4 flare on 28th, with only C-class flares detected over the past 24 hours. A longer duration C7 flare around 29/0040 UTC and impulsive C9 flare around 29/1000 UTC do not appear to have generated CMEs at this stage. AR2860 continues with a Beta-Gamma-Delta/Eki configuration as it transits in the southwest, and a chance of further M-class flares is maintained.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2859</id><location time="2021-08-29T14:00:00Z">N18W28</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2860</id><location time="2021-08-29T14:00:00Z">S27W19</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.79</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.34</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-08-29T20:00:58Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-08-29T20:00:58Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-08-29T20:00:58Z</begin><end>2021-08-30T02:00:58Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Flare activity has reduced since the long duration M4 flare on 28th, with only a few C-class flares detected over the past 24 hours. The strongest was an impulsive C8 flare around 29/1000 UTC and does not appear to have generated any CME at this stage. AR2860 continues with a Beta-Gamma-Delta/Eki configuration as it transits in the southwest, and a chance of further M-class flares is maintained.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2859</id><location time="2021-08-29T14:00:00Z">N18W30</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2860</id><location time="2021-08-29T14:00:00Z">S28W20</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.79</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.34</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-08-30T02:36:59Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-08-30T02:36:59Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-08-30T02:36:59Z</begin><end>2021-08-30T08:36:59Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Flare activity has reduced since the long duration M4 flare on 28th, with only a few C-class flares detected over the past 24 hours. The strongest was an impulsive C8 flare around 29/1000 UTC and does not appear to have generated any CME. AR2860 continues with a Beta-Gamma-Delta/Eki configuration as it transits in the southwest, and a chance of further M-class flares is maintained.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2859</id><location time="2021-08-30T02:00:00Z">N18W33</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2860</id><location time="2021-08-30T02:00:00Z">S28W23</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.79</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.34</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-08-30T08:56:00Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-08-30T08:56:00Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-08-30T08:56:00Z</begin><end>2021-08-30T14:56:00Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar Activity has been Low in the last 24 hours, with a few small C-flares observed from AR2860. This region has shown some sign of simplification during the last 24 hours, as it develops a more stable magnetic structure. However, the total flux contained by the region, and the persistence of a small delta spot, suggest that further M-flares are likely (30%), and there is an above background risk (5%) of a low X flare.&#160; Solar Activity is therefore expected to be Low, with a chance of rising to Moderate.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2859</id><location time="2021-08-30T08:00:00Z">N18W38</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2860</id><location time="2021-08-30T08:00:00Z">S26W30</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.83</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.44</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-08-30T09:13:06Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-08-30T09:13:06Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-08-30T09:13:06Z</begin><end>2021-08-30T15:13:06Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar Activity has been Low in the last 24 hours, with a few small C-flares observed from AR2860. This region has shown some sign of simplification during the last 24 hours, as it develops a more stable magnetic structure. However, the total flux contained by the region, and the persistence of a small delta spot, suggest that further M-flares are likely (30%), and there is an above background risk (5%) of a low X flare.&#160; Solar Activity is therefore expected to be Low, with a chance of rising to Moderate.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2859</id><location time="2021-08-30T08:00:00Z">N18W38</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2860</id><location time="2021-08-30T08:00:00Z">S26W30</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.83</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.44</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-08-30T14:34:18Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-08-30T14:34:18Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-08-30T14:34:18Z</begin><end>2021-08-30T20:34:18Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar Activity has been Low in the last 24 hours, with a few small C-flares observed from AR2860. This region was the source of an M4 flare on the 28th, but has shown some sign of simplification during the last 24 hours as it develops a more stable magnetic structure despite some increase in sunspot number. The total flux contained by the region also suggests that further M-flares remain possible (30%), and there is an above background risk (5%) of a low X flare. Solar Activity is therefore expected to be Low, with a chance of rising to Moderate.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2859</id><location time="2021-08-30T14:00:00Z">N18W41</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2860</id><location time="2021-08-30T14:00:00Z">S26W33</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.83</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.44</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-08-30T20:26:01Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-08-30T20:26:01Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-08-30T20:26:01Z</begin><end>2021-08-31T02:26:01Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar Activity has remained low over the past 24 hours, but flare probabilities suggest a continuing chance of M-class activity and R1/R2 radio blackouts from AR2860</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2859</id><location time="2021-08-30T20:00:00Z">N18W43</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2860</id><location time="2021-08-30T20:00:00Z">S27W36</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.92</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.63</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-08-31T02:23:47Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-08-31T02:23:47Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-08-31T02:23:47Z</begin><end>2021-08-31T08:23:47Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar Activity has remained low over the past 24 hours, but flare probabilities suggest a continuing chance of M-class activity and R1/R2 radio blackouts from AR2860</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2859</id><location time="2021-08-31T02:00:00Z">N18W46</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2860</id><location time="2021-08-31T02:00:00Z">S27W39</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.92</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.63</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-08-31T08:47:18Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-08-31T08:47:18Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-08-31T08:47:18Z</begin><end>2021-08-31T14:47:18Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar Activity has been Very Low over the last few hours, with the most recent C-class flare at 30/2135 UTC. However AR2860 remains a very complex sunspot, which suggests a continuing chance of M-class activity and R1/R2 radio blackouts.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2859</id><location time="2021-08-31T08:00:00Z">N18W50</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2860</id><location time="2021-08-31T08:00:00Z">S27W43</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.92</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.63</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-08-31T14:43:33Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-08-31T14:43:33Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-08-31T14:43:33Z</begin><end>2021-08-31T20:43:33Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar Activity has been Very Low over the last few hours, with the most recent C-class flare at 30/2135 UTC. However AR2860 remains a complex sunspot, which suggests a continuing chance of M-class activity and R1/R2 radio blackouts, although the probabilities have been reduced slightly.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2859</id><location time="2021-08-31T14:00:00Z">N18W53</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2860</id><location time="2021-08-31T14:00:00Z">S27W46</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.79</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.34</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-08-31T20:42:34Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-08-31T20:42:34Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-08-31T20:42:34Z</begin><end>2021-09-01T02:42:34Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar Activity has been Very Low over the last few hours, with the most recent C-class flare at 30/2135 UTC. However AR2860 remains a complex sunspot, which suggests a continuing chance of M-class activity and R1/R2 radio blackouts, although the probabilities are lower than they have been in recent days.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2859</id><location time="2021-08-31T20:00:00Z">N18W57</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2860</id><location time="2021-08-31T20:00:00Z">S27W49</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.79</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.34</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-01T02:44:41Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-01T02:44:41Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-01T02:44:41Z</begin><end>2021-09-01T08:44:41Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar Activity is currently VeryLow, however AR2860 still remains a fairly complex sunspot with a slight chance of M-class activity and R1/R2 radio blackouts, although probabilities are lower than they have been in recent days and appear to be diminishing.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2859</id><location time="2021-09-01T02:00:00Z">N18W61</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2860</id><location time="2021-09-01T02:00:00Z">S27W53</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-01T08:02:32Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-01T08:02:32Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-01T08:02:32Z</begin><end>2021-09-01T14:02:32Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar Activity is currently Very Low, however AR2860 still remains a fairly complex sunspot with a slight chance of M-class activity, although probabilities are lower than they have been in recent days and appear to be diminishing.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2859</id><location time="2021-09-01T08:00:00Z">N18W63</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2860</id><location time="2021-09-01T08:00:00Z">S27W56</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-01T15:17:09Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-01T15:17:09Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-01T15:17:09Z</begin><end>2021-09-01T21:17:09Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar Activity is currently Low. AR2860 has produced 2 further C1 flares in the past 6 hours, and remains a fairly complex sunspot with a slight chance of M-class activity.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2859</id><location time="2021-09-01T14:00:00Z">N18W66</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2860</id><location time="2021-09-01T14:00:00Z">S27W59</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-01T21:20:11Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-01T21:20:11Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-01T21:20:11Z</begin><end>2021-09-02T03:20:11Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar Activity is currently Low. AR2860 has produced further C1 flares. The most recent a LDE C1.2 at 01/1331UTC Itmains a fairly complex sunspot with a slight chance of M-class activity.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2860</id><location time="2021-09-01T20:00:00Z">S27W63</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-01T20:00:00Z">S17E45</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-02T02:01:32Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-02T02:01:32Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-02T02:01:32Z</begin><end>2021-09-02T08:01:32Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar Activity is currently Low. AR2860 has produced further C1 flares. The most recent a LDE C1.2 at 01/1331UTC It remains a fairly complex sunspot with a slight chance of M-class activity.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2860</id><location time="2021-09-02T02:00:00Z">S25W64</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-02T02:00:00Z">S17E42</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-02T08:00:52Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-02T08:00:52Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-02T08:00:52Z</begin><end>2021-09-02T14:00:52Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar Activity is currently Low. AR2860 produced two C1 flares in the past 24 hours, the most recent a C1.2 at 01/1331UTC It remains a fairly complex sunspot, and combined with the new growing sunspot in the southeast quadrant, there remains a slight chance of M-class activity.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2860</id><location time="2021-09-02T08:00:00Z">S25W68</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-02T08:00:00Z">S17E39</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.43</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.07</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-02T15:03:05Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-02T15:03:05Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-02T15:03:05Z</begin><end>2021-09-02T21:03:05Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar Activity is currently Low. AR2860 produced a C1 flare in the past 24 hours, at 01/1331UTC. It remains a fairly complex sunspot, and combined with the new growing sunspot in the southeast quadrant, there remains a slight chance of M-class activity.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2860</id><location time="2021-09-02T14:00:00Z">S25W71</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2863</id><location time="2021-09-02T14:00:00Z">S17E36</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.56</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-02T20:35:16Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-02T20:35:16Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-02T20:35:16Z</begin><end>2021-09-03T02:35:16Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar Activity is currently Very Low with no flares of note. Though 2860 remains a fairly complex sunspot, and combined with the new growing sunspot in the southeast quadrant, there remains a slight chance of M-class activity.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2860</id><location time="2021-09-02T20:00:00Z">S25W75</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2863</id><location time="2021-09-02T20:00:00Z">S17E32</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-02T20:38:31Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-02T20:38:31Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-02T20:38:31Z</begin><end>2021-09-03T02:38:31Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar Activity is currently Very Low with no flares of note. Though 2860 remains a fairly complex sunspot, and combined with the new growing sunspot in the southeast quadrant, there remains a slight chance of M-class activity.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2860</id><location time="2021-09-02T20:00:00Z">S25W75</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2863</id><location time="2021-09-02T20:00:00Z">S17E32</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-03T02:03:39Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-03T02:03:39Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-03T02:03:39Z</begin><end>2021-09-03T08:03:39Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar Activity is currently&#160; Low with with one C1.2 flare at 02/2102 UTC. Though 2860 remains a fairly complex sunspot, and combined with the new growing sunspot in the southeast quadrant, there remains a slight chance of M-class activity.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2860</id><location time="2021-09-03T02:00:00Z">S25W78</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2863</id><location time="2021-09-03T02:00:00Z">S17E28</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-03T08:45:30Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-03T08:45:30Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-03T08:45:30Z</begin><end>2021-09-03T14:45:30Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar Activity is currently&#160; Low with with one C1.2 flare at 02/2102 UTC. Though 2860 remains a fairly complex sunspot, and combined with the new growing sunspot in the southeast quadrant, there remains a slight chance of M-class activity.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2863</id><location time="2021-09-03T08:00:00Z">S17E29</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.56</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-03T14:26:55Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-03T14:26:55Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-03T14:26:55Z</begin><end>2021-09-03T20:26:55Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar Activity is currently Low with with one C1.2 flare at 02/2102 UTC. Both 2860, which is just beyond the far western horizon, and 2863 in the southeast quadrant continue to bring a slight chance of M-class flare activity.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2863</id><location time="2021-09-03T14:00:00Z">S17E22</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.56</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-03T14:00:00Z">N24E28</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-03T20:53:53Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-03T20:53:53Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-03T20:53:53Z</begin><end>2021-09-04T02:53:53Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is low, with one C1.2 flare at 03/2052UTC. Two developing sunspot regions are on the visible disc. Based on analysis of magnetic flux contained in the regions, AR2863 appears to contain enough flux to produce a C-class flare and is increasing towards the potential for M-class flare activity. AR2864 currently appears to be a very low flare risk, but is steadily developing and will be continue to be monitored.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.75</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2863</id><location time="2021-09-03T20:00:00Z">S17E19</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2864</id><location time="2021-09-03T20:00:00Z">N24E25</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-04T03:21:16Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-04T03:21:16Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-04T03:21:16Z</begin><end>2021-09-04T09:21:16Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is very low, with several B-class flares, mainly from the vicinity of AR2863. The simplification of AR2863 suggests a reduction in flare risk, although there are a number of emerging regions which could offset this reduction.&#160;Overall risk is considered to be low or very low, with a very slight chance of M-class flares.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2863</id><location time="2021-09-04T02:00:00Z">S17E16</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2864</id><location time="2021-09-04T02:00:00Z">N24E22</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-04T02:00:00Z">N22E39</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-04T02:00:00Z">S18E76</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-04T08:53:57Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-04T08:53:57Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-04T08:53:57Z</begin><end>2021-09-04T14:53:57Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is very low, with several B-class flares, mainly from the vicinity of AR2863. The simplification of AR2863 suggests a reduction in flare risk, although the increasing complexity of AR2864 and the new emerging regions could offset this reduction.Overall risk is considered to be low or very low, with a very slight chance of M-class flares.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2863</id><location time="2021-09-04T08:00:00Z">S17E11</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2864</id><location time="2021-09-04T08:00:00Z">N24E18</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-04T08:00:00Z">N22E34</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-04T08:00:00Z">S18E72</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-04T08:00:00Z">S18W62</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-04T14:53:18Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-04T14:53:18Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-04T14:53:18Z</begin><end>2021-09-04T20:53:18Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is very low, with several B-class flares, some from AR2863 and some from AR2860 which rotated off the disk on 3rd September. The increasing complexity of AR2864 and the new emerging regions are contributing to an overall slight increase in likelihood of C and M class flares.Overall risk is considered to be low or very low, with a very slight chance of M-class flares.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2863</id><location time="2021-09-04T14:00:00Z">S17E08</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2864</id><location time="2021-09-04T14:00:00Z">N24E15</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2865</id><location time="2021-09-04T14:00:00Z">N22E31</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-04T14:00:00Z">S18E69</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-04T14:00:00Z">S18W65</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-04T14:00:00Z">S21W52</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-04T20:44:14Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-04T20:44:14Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-04T20:44:14Z</begin><end>2021-09-05T02:44:14Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is very low, with fairly frequent B-class activity. The increasing complexity of AR2864 and the recently emerging regions are contributing to an overall slight increase in likelihood of C and M class flares.Overall risk is considered to be low or very low, with a slight chance of M-class flares.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2863</id><location time="2021-09-04T20:00:00Z">S17E05</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2864</id><location time="2021-09-04T20:00:00Z">N24E12</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2865</id><location time="2021-09-04T20:00:00Z">N21E28</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-04T20:00:00Z">S18E69</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2867</id><location time="2021-09-04T20:00:00Z">S18W69</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-04T20:00:00Z">S21E49</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-05T03:32:59Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-05T03:32:59Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-05T03:32:59Z</begin><end>2021-09-05T09:32:59Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is very low, with occasional B-class flare activity. The combined probabilities of the 6 spot regions are contributing to an overall slight increase in likelihood of C and M class flares.Overall risk is considered to be low or very low, with a slight chance of M-class flares.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2863</id><location time="2021-09-05T02:00:00Z">S17E01</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2864</id><location time="2021-09-05T02:00:00Z">N24E08</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2865</id><location time="2021-09-05T02:00:00Z">N21E24</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-05T02:00:00Z">S18E61</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2867</id><location time="2021-09-05T02:00:00Z">S18W73</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-05T02:00:00Z">S21E45</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-05T08:58:41Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-05T08:58:41Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-05T08:58:41Z</begin><end>2021-09-05T14:58:41Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is currently very Low, with only small B-class flares.However background flux is rising, with the growth of the sunspot regions on the visible disc. Main potential for notable flaring appears likely to be 2864 or 2868, but perhaps also 2866 as it continues to develop. Solar activity is expected to increase to Low at times, from any C-flaring, with a slight chance of rising to Moderate.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2863</id><location time="2021-09-05T08:00:00Z">S16E01</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2864</id><location time="2021-09-05T08:00:00Z">N24E04</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-05T08:00:00Z">S17E58</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2867</id><location time="2021-09-05T08:00:00Z">S18W76</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-05T08:00:00Z">S21E42</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-05T14:38:47Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-05T14:38:47Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-05T14:38:47Z</begin><end>2021-09-05T20:38:47Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is currently Very Low, with only small B-class flares being observed in the last 24 hours. Some growth of the sunspot regions on the visible disc has continued, with solar activity likely to increase to Low at times with any C-flaring. There is a slight chance of rising to Moderate, mainly if any further development of sunspot regions occurs.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2863</id><location time="2021-09-05T14:00:00Z">S16E04</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2864</id><location time="2021-09-05T14:00:00Z">N24E07</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-05T14:00:00Z">S17E55</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-05T14:00:00Z">S21E49</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-05T21:02:59Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-05T21:02:59Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-05T21:02:59Z</begin><end>2021-09-06T03:02:59Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is currently Very Low, with only small B-class flares being observed in the last 24 hours, these most recently from AR2866. Some growth of the sunspot regions on the visible disc has continued, with solar activity likely to increase to Low at times with any C-flaring. There is a slight chance of rising to Moderate if we see further development of sunspot regions. AR2866 in the southeast continues to bring the greatest risk of flares in the coming hours.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2863</id><location time="2021-09-05T20:00:00Z">S16W11</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2864</id><location time="2021-09-05T20:00:00Z">N24W02</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-05T20:00:00Z">S17E52</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-05T20:00:00Z">S21E35</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-06T02:35:35Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-06T02:35:35Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-06T02:35:35Z</begin><end>2021-09-06T08:35:35Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is currently Very Low, with only small B-class flares being observed in the last 24 hours, these most recently from AR2866. Growth of the sunspot regions on the visible disc has continued, with solar activity likely to increase to Low at times with any C-flaring. There is a slight chance of rising to Moderate and a none-zero chance of High if we see the current sunspot regions flaring. AR2866 in the southeast continues to bring the greatest risk of flares in the coming hours.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2863</id><location time="2021-09-05T20:00:00Z">S17W15</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2864</id><location time="2021-09-05T20:00:00Z">N24W06</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-05T20:00:00Z">S17E48</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.69</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.23</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-05T20:00:00Z">S21E31</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-06T08:01:58Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-06T08:01:58Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-06T08:01:58Z</begin><end>2021-09-06T14:01:58Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is currently Very Low, however growth and increasing complexity of the sunspot regions on the visible disc has continued, with solar activity likely to increase to Low, with a Slight Chance of M-class flares. Based on observations, the raw probabilities have been adjusted downwards relative to similar spots seen in the past.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2863</id><location time="2021-09-06T06:00:00Z">S17W17</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2864</id><location time="2021-09-06T06:00:00Z">N24W09</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-06T06:00:00Z">S17E45</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.69</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.23</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-06T06:00:00Z">S21E29</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-06T14:16:12Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-06T14:16:12Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-06T14:16:12Z</begin><end>2021-09-06T20:16:12Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is currently Very Low. Solar activity is still thought Likely to increase to Low, with a daily Slight Chance of M-class flares. Based on observations, the raw probabilities have been adjusted downwards relative to similar spots seen in the past.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2863</id><location time="2021-09-06T13:15:00Z">S17W19</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2864</id><location time="2021-09-06T13:15:00Z">N24W13</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-06T13:15:00Z">S17E41</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.69</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.23</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-06T13:15:00Z">S21E25</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-06T20:39:12Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-06T20:39:12Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-06T20:39:12Z</begin><end>2021-09-07T02:39:12Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is currently Very Low. Solar activity is still thought Likely to increase to Low, with a daily Slight Chance of M-class flares. Based on observations, the raw probabilities have been adjusted downwards relative to similar spots seen in the past.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2863</id><location time="2021-09-06T20:00:00Z">S17W23</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2864</id><location time="2021-09-06T20:00:00Z">N24W17</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.56</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-06T20:00:00Z">S17E37</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.69</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.23</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-06T20:00:00Z">S21E21</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-07T02:25:27Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-07T02:25:27Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-07T02:25:27Z</begin><end>2021-09-07T08:25:27Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is currently Very Low. Solar activity is still thought Likely to increase to Low, with a daily Slight Chance of M-class flares. Based on observations, the raw probabilities have been adjusted downwards relative to similar spots seen in the past.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2863</id><location time="2021-09-07T02:00:00Z">S16W26</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2864</id><location time="2021-09-07T02:00:00Z">N24W19</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-07T02:00:00Z">S17E34</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.69</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.23</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-07T02:00:00Z">S21E18</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-07T08:04:18Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-07T08:04:18Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-07T08:04:18Z</begin><end>2021-09-07T14:04:18Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is currently Very Low. Solar activity is still thought Likely to increase to Low, with a daily Slight Chance of M-class flares. Based on observations, the raw probabilities have been adjusted downwards relative to similar spots seen in the past.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2863</id><location time="2021-09-07T06:00:00Z">S16W31</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2864</id><location time="2021-09-07T06:00:00Z">N25W22</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-07T06:00:00Z">S17E32</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.69</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.23</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-07T06:00:00Z">S21E16</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.31</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-07T14:17:19Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-07T14:17:19Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-07T14:17:19Z</begin><end>2021-09-07T20:17:19Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is currently Low. Solar activity is thought Likely to be Low over the coming days, with a daily Slight Chance of M-class flares. Based on observations, the raw probabilities have been adjusted downwards relative to similar spots seen in the past.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2863</id><location time="2021-09-07T13:30:00Z">S16W35</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2864</id><location time="2021-09-07T13:30:00Z">N25W26</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-07T13:30:00Z">S17E28</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.69</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.23</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-07T13:30:00Z">S21E12</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-07T20:47:22Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-07T20:47:22Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-07T20:47:22Z</begin><end>2021-09-08T02:47:22Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is currently Low with a C1 flare observed from 2866 at 07/0933 UTC, but otherwise persisting at background B-class flux. Given the current stability of the sunspots, and the lack of history of notable flares, current probabilities are below the statistical exceptions for these regions, most notably 2866. However, further development has the potential to increase these chances. Consequently Very low to Low solar activity is expected to continue with a slight chance of rising to Moderate.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2863</id><location time="2021-09-07T20:00:00Z">S16W39</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2864</id><location time="2021-09-07T20:00:00Z">N25W29</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-07T20:00:00Z">S17E24</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.72</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.26</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-07T20:00:00Z">S21E08</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-08T02:55:02Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-08T02:55:02Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-08T02:55:02Z</begin><end>2021-09-08T08:55:02Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is currently Low with a 2 C-flares in the last 24 hours. A C1 from AR2866 08/0935 UTC, and a C2 from AR2864 at 09/0009 UTC with associated Type II and Type IV radio bursts.&#160; Despite 5 sunspots on the disc, including the relatively large 2866, background flux has remained a B-class with no sign of notable flares occurring. Consequently probabilities of notable flares are reduced in comparison to historical statistics for similar spots, with a 15% chance of M-flares maintained.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2863</id><location time="2021-09-08T02:00:00Z">S16W42</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2864</id><location time="2021-09-08T02:00:00Z">N25W32</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-08T02:00:00Z">S17E21</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.83</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.44</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-08T02:00:00Z">S21E05</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.38</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.16</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-08T02:00:00Z">S35E24</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-08T08:45:38Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-08T08:45:38Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-08T08:45:38Z</begin><end>2021-09-08T14:45:38Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is currently Low with 2 C-flares in the last 24 hours. A C1 from AR2866 08/0935 UTC, and a C2 from AR2864 at 09/0009 UTC with associated Type II and Type IV radio bursts.&#160; Despite 5 sunspots on the disc, including the relatively large 2866, background flux has remained at B-class with no sign of notable flares occurring. Consequently probabilities of notable flares are reduced in comparison to historical statistics for similar spots, with a 15% chance of M-flares maintained.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2863</id><location time="2021-09-08T08:00:00Z">S16W45</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2864</id><location time="2021-09-08T08:00:00Z">N25W35</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-08T08:00:00Z">S17E18</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.83</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.44</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-08T08:00:00Z">S21E02</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.38</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.16</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-08T08:00:00Z">S35E21</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-08T14:42:07Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-08T14:42:07Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-08T14:42:07Z</begin><end>2021-09-08T20:42:07Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is currently Low with several C-flares in the last 24 hours. Most recently we have seen a C2 flare from 2868 and a C1 flare from 2866.&#160; Despite numerous sunspots on the disc, including the relatively large 2866, background flux has remained at B-class with only C-class flares occurring. Consequently probabilities of notable flares are reduced in comparison to historical statistics for similar spots, with a 15% chance of M-flares maintained.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2863</id><location time="2021-09-08T14:00:00Z">S16W49</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2864</id><location time="2021-09-08T14:00:00Z">N24W44</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-08T14:00:00Z">S17E14</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.83</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.44</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-08T14:00:00Z">S21W02</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.38</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.16</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2869</id><location time="2021-09-08T14:00:00Z">S35E17</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-08T20:50:52Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-08T20:50:52Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-08T20:50:52Z</begin><end>2021-09-09T02:50:52Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is currently Low with several C-flares in the last 24 hours. Most recently we have seen a C8 flare from 2866, which is the largest flare we have seen from this region. A few further small C-flares have also been observed (5 in total in the last 24 hours), but despite numerous sunspots on the disc, X-ray flux has otherwise remained at B-class. Consequently probabilities of notable flares are reduced in comparison to historical statistics for similar spots, however a 15% chance of M-flares is maintained.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2863</id><location time="2021-09-08T20:00:00Z">S16W52</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2864</id><location time="2021-09-08T20:00:00Z">N24W47</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-08T20:00:00Z">S17E11</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.83</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.44</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-08T20:00:00Z">S21W05</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.38</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.16</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2869</id><location time="2021-09-08T20:00:00Z">S35E14</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-08T20:00:00Z">S33E75</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-09T02:40:11Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-09T02:40:11Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-09T02:40:11Z</begin><end>2021-09-09T08:40:11Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is currently Low with several C-flares in the last 24 hours. This includes a C8 flare from 2866, which is the largest flare we have seen from this region. A few further small C-flares have also been observed (4 in total in the last 24 hours), but despite numerous sunspots on the disc, X-ray flux has otherwise remained stable at B-class. Consequently probabilities of notable flares are reduced in comparison to historical statistics for similar spots, however a 15% chance of M-flares is maintained.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2863</id><location time="2021-09-09T02:00:00Z">S16W55</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2864</id><location time="2021-09-09T02:00:00Z">N24W50</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-09T02:00:00Z">S17E08</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.83</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.44</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-09T02:00:00Z">S21W08</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.38</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.16</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2869</id><location time="2021-09-09T02:00:00Z">S35E11</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-09T02:00:00Z">S33E72</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-09T09:03:09Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-09T09:03:09Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-09T09:03:09Z</begin><end>2021-09-09T15:03:09Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is currently Low with several C-flares in the last 24 hours. This includes a C8 flare from 2866, which is the largest flare we have seen from this region. Three further small C-flares have also been observed in the last 24 hours, but despite numerous sunspots on the disc, X-ray flux has otherwise remained stable at B-class. Consequently probabilities of notable flares are reduced in comparison to historical statistics for similar spots, however the chance of C and M-flares has been raised slightly to 90% and 20%, as 2866 is showing possible further development.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.9</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2863</id><location time="2021-09-09T08:00:00Z">S16W59</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2864</id><location time="2021-09-09T08:00:00Z">N24W54</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-09T08:00:00Z">S18E04</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.83</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.26</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-09T08:00:00Z">S21W12</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.38</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.16</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2869</id><location time="2021-09-09T08:00:00Z">S34E07</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-09T08:00:00Z">S32E66</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-09T15:25:47Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-09T15:25:47Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-09T15:25:47Z</begin><end>2021-09-09T21:25:47Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is currently Low, with two C-flares in the last 24 hours, both from 2866. X-ray flux has otherwise remained stable at B-class. Consequently probabilities of notable flares are reduced in comparison to historical statistics for similar spots, with the chance of M-flares considered closer to 20% at present.&#160;&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.9</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2863</id><location time="2021-09-09T14:00:00Z">S16W62</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2864</id><location time="2021-09-09T14:00:00Z">N24W57</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-09T14:00:00Z">S18E01</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.72</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-09T14:00:00Z">S21W15</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.38</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.16</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2869</id><location time="2021-09-09T14:00:00Z">S34E04</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-09T14:00:00Z">S32E63</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-09T20:53:24Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-09T20:53:24Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-09T20:53:24Z</begin><end>2021-09-10T02:53:24Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is currently Low, with two C-flares in the last 24 hours, both from 2866. X-ray flux has otherwise remained stable at B-class. Consequently probabilities of notable flares are reduced in comparison to historical statistics for similar spots, with the chance of M-flares considered closer to 20% at present.&#160;&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.9</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2863</id><location time="2021-09-09T19:30:00Z">S16W66</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2864</id><location time="2021-09-09T19:30:00Z">N24W60</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-09T19:30:00Z">S17W03</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.72</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-09T19:30:00Z">S20W18</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2869</id><location time="2021-09-09T19:30:00Z">S35E01</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2870</id><location time="2021-09-09T19:30:00Z">S32E60</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-10T02:01:14Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-10T02:01:14Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-10T02:01:14Z</begin><end>2021-09-10T08:01:14Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is currently Low, with one C-flares in the past 24 hours from 2866. X-ray flux has otherwise remained stable at B-class. Consequently probabilities of notable flares are reduced in comparison to historical statistics for similar spots, with the chance of M-flares considered closer to 20% at present.&#160;&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.9</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2863</id><location time="2021-09-10T01:00:00Z">S16W68</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2864</id><location time="2021-09-10T01:00:00Z">N24W63</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-10T01:00:00Z">S17W06</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.83</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.44</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-10T01:00:00Z">S20W21</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2869</id><location time="2021-09-10T01:00:00Z">S35W02</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2870</id><location time="2021-09-10T01:00:00Z">S32E57</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-10T09:05:34Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-10T09:05:34Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-10T09:05:34Z</begin><end>2021-09-10T15:05:34Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is currently Very Low, with only B-Class flares in the past 24 hours. The current number and complexity of spots on the visible disk suggest an inflated statistical probability of flares. Therefore probabilities of notable flares have been reduced in comparison to historical statistics for similar spots, with the chance of M-Class flares considered to be closer to 20% at present.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2863</id><location time="2021-09-10T08:00:00Z">S16W72</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2864</id><location time="2021-09-10T08:00:00Z">N24W67</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-10T08:00:00Z">S17W10</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.83</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.44</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-10T08:00:00Z">S20W25</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2869</id><location time="2021-09-10T08:00:00Z">S35W06</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-10T14:41:18Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-10T14:41:18Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-10T14:41:18Z</begin><end>2021-09-10T20:41:18Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is currently Very Low, with only B-Class flares in the past 24 hours. The current number and complexity of spots on the visible disk suggest an inflated statistical probability of flares. Therefore probabilities of notable flares have been reduced in comparison to these historical statistics for similar spots, with the chance of M-Class flares considered to be closer to 20% at present.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2863</id><location time="2021-09-10T14:00:00Z">S16W75</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2864</id><location time="2021-09-10T14:00:00Z">N24W70</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-10T14:00:00Z">S17W13</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.83</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.44</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-10T14:00:00Z">S20W28</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2869</id><location time="2021-09-10T14:00:00Z">S35W09</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-10T21:10:40Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-10T21:10:40Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-10T21:10:40Z</begin><end>2021-09-11T03:10:40Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is currently very low, with all the complex spots on the disc showing some signs of decline over the last 24 hours. Consequently the risk of flaring from individual regions is considered to have declined. C-class flares are still considered possible, but the risk of M-class flares is reduced in comparison with historical probabilities.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2863</id><location time="2021-09-10T20:00:00Z">S16W78</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2864</id><location time="2021-09-10T20:00:00Z">N24W73</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-10T20:00:00Z">S17W15</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.69</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.23</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-10T20:00:00Z">S20W31</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.52</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2869</id><location time="2021-09-10T20:00:00Z">S35W12</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-11T03:07:33Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-11T03:07:33Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-11T03:07:33Z</begin><end>2021-09-11T09:07:33Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is low, with one C1.1 at 10/2134 from the region of 2868. This remains the main source of risk for significant flare activity. 2866 also contributes to this risk, but appears relatively more stable and inactive. Overall further C-class flares are expected, with a 20% risk of M-class flares.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2863</id><location time="2021-09-11T02:00:00Z">S16W82</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2864</id><location time="2021-09-11T02:00:00Z">N24W77</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-11T02:00:00Z">S17W19</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.69</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.23</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-11T02:00:00Z">S20W31</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.72</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.26</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2869</id><location time="2021-09-11T02:00:00Z">S35W12</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-11T08:21:22Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-11T08:21:22Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-11T08:21:22Z</begin><end>2021-09-11T14:21:22Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is low, with a couple of C1 flares observed in the last 12 hours. The current number and complexity of spots on the visible disc suggests that further C-class flares are to be expected, with perhaps a chance (20%) of M-class flares.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2864</id><location time="2021-09-11T08:00:00Z">N24W80</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-11T08:00:00Z">S17W22</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.69</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.23</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-11T08:00:00Z">S20W39</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.72</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.26</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2869</id><location time="2021-09-11T08:00:00Z">S35W18</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-11T14:03:35Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-11T14:03:35Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-11T14:03:35Z</begin><end>2021-09-11T20:03:35Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is low, with a couple of C1 flares observed in the last 12 hours. The current number and complexity of spots on the visible disc suggests that further C-class flares are to be expected, with perhaps a chance (20%) of M-class flares.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2864</id><location time="2021-09-11T14:00:00Z">N24W83</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-11T14:00:00Z">S17W25</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.69</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.23</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-11T14:00:00Z">S20W42</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.72</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.26</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2869</id><location time="2021-09-11T14:00:00Z">S35W21</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-11T21:01:36Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-11T21:01:36Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-11T21:01:36Z</begin><end>2021-09-12T03:01:36Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is low, with a single C1 flare observed in the last 24 hours, from AR2868. The current number and complexity of spots on the visible disc suggests that further C-class flares are to be expected, with perhaps a slight chance (20%) of an M-class flare.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2864</id><location time="2021-09-11T20:00:00Z">N24W87</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-11T20:00:00Z">S17W29</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.69</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.23</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-11T20:00:00Z">S20W46</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.72</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.26</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2869</id><location time="2021-09-11T20:00:00Z">S35W25</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-12T03:01:59Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-12T03:01:59Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-12T03:01:59Z</begin><end>2021-09-12T09:01:59Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is low, with a single C1 flare observed in the last 24 hours, from AR2868. Despite their apparent slow decay, the prescence of AR2866 and AR2868 on the visible disc maintains the chance for further C-class flares, with perhaps a slight chance (20%) of an M-class flare.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2864</id><location time="2021-09-12T02:00:00Z">N24W90</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-12T02:00:00Z">S17W32</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.69</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.23</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-12T02:00:00Z">S20W49</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.72</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.26</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2869</id><location time="2021-09-12T02:00:00Z">S35W31</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-12T08:02:52Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-12T08:02:52Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-12T08:02:52Z</begin><end>2021-09-12T14:02:52Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity was Very Low, with flares down to background. Despite their apparent slow decay, AR2866 and AR2868 remain complex enough to trigger C-class flares, and perhaps a slight chance of an M-class flare. The probabilities have been slightly reduced though.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-12T08:00:00Z">S19W35</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-12T08:00:00Z">S19W53</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2869</id><location time="2021-09-12T08:00:00Z">S35W33</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-12T14:03:12Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-12T14:03:12Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-12T14:03:12Z</begin><end>2021-09-12T20:03:12Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity was Very Low, with flares down to background level. Despite their apparent slow decay, AR2866 and AR2868 remain complex enough to trigger C-class flares, and perhaps a slight chance of an M-class flare. The probabilities have been slightly reduced though.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-12T14:00:00Z">S19W39</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-12T14:00:00Z">S19W57</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2869</id><location time="2021-09-12T14:00:00Z">S35W37</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-12T20:49:58Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-12T20:49:58Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-12T20:49:58Z</begin><end>2021-09-13T02:49:58Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity was Very Low, with flares down to background level. Despite their apparent slow decay, AR2866 and AR2868 remain complex enough to trigger C-class flares, and perhaps a slight chance of an M-class flare. The probabilities have been slightly reduced though.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-12T20:00:00Z">S19W43</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-12T20:00:00Z">S21W59</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-13T01:50:11Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-13T01:50:11Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-13T01:50:11Z</begin><end>2021-09-13T07:50:11Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity was Very Low, with flares down to background level. Despite their slow decay, AR2866 and AR2868 remain complex enough to trigger C-class flares, and perhaps a slight chance of an M-class flare.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-13T02:00:00Z">S19W46</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-13T02:00:00Z">S21W63</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-13T08:11:10Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-13T08:11:10Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-13T08:11:10Z</begin><end>2021-09-13T14:11:10Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Very Low over the past 24 hours. However, AR2866 and AR2868 remain complex enough that C-class flares are likely, and there is a slight chance of an M-class flare.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-13T08:00:00Z">S19W49</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-13T08:00:00Z">S20W66</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-13T14:43:48Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-13T14:43:48Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-13T14:43:48Z</begin><end>2021-09-13T20:43:48Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Very Low over the past 24 hours. However, AR2866 and AR2868 remain complex enough that C-class flares are likely, and there is a slight chance of an M-class flare.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-13T14:00:00Z">S19W53</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-13T14:00:00Z">S20W71</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-13T20:46:22Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-13T20:46:22Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-13T20:46:22Z</begin><end>2021-09-14T02:46:22Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Very Low over the past 24 hours. However, AR2866 and AR2868 remain complex enough that there remains a chance of C-class flares and there is a very slight chance of an M-class flare.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-13T20:00:00Z">S19W56</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-13T20:00:00Z">S20W73</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-14T02:08:59Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-14T02:08:59Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-14T02:08:59Z</begin><end>2021-09-14T08:08:59Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Very Low over the past 24 hours. However, AR2866 and AR2868 remain complex enough that there remains a chance of C-class flares and there is a very slight chance of an M-class flare.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-14T02:00:00Z">S19W59</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-14T02:00:00Z">S20W76</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-14T08:33:22Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-14T08:33:22Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-14T08:33:22Z</begin><end>2021-09-14T14:33:22Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low in the last 24 hours, with one C-class flare observed from 2868 at 14/0649 UTC. Activity is expected to continue at Low to Very Low levels.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-14T02:00:00Z">S19W63</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-14T02:00:00Z">S20W81</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-14T09:04:40Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-14T09:04:40Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-14T09:04:40Z</begin><end>2021-09-14T15:04:40Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low in the last 24 hours, with one C-class flare observed from 2868 at 14/0649 UTC. Activity is expected to continue at Low to Very Low levels.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-14T02:00:00Z">S19W63</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-14T02:00:00Z">S20W81</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-14T09:06:11Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-14T09:06:11Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-14T09:06:11Z</begin><end>2021-09-14T15:06:11Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low in the last 24 hours, with one C-class flare observed from 2868 at 14/0649 UTC. Activity is expected to continue at Low to Very Low levels.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-14T02:00:00Z">S19W63</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-14T02:00:00Z">S20W81</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-14T15:06:59Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-14T15:06:59Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-14T15:06:59Z</begin><end>2021-09-14T21:06:59Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low in the last 24 hours, with one C-class flare observed from 2868 at 14/0649 UTC. Activity is expected to continue at Low to Very Low levels.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-14T14:00:00Z">S19W66</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2868</id><location time="2021-09-14T14:00:00Z">S20W84</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-14T20:26:56Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-14T20:26:56Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-14T20:26:56Z</begin><end>2021-09-15T02:26:56Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low in the last 24 hours, with one C-class flare observed from 2868 at 14/0649 UTC. Activity is expected to continue at Low to Very Low levels.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-14T20:00:00Z">S19W69</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-15T02:01:04Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-15T02:01:04Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-15T02:01:04Z</begin><end>2021-09-15T08:01:04Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low in the last 24 hours, with one C-class flare observed from 2868 at 14/0649 UTC. Activity is expected to continue at Low to Very Low levels.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-15T02:00:00Z">S19W73</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-15T07:20:12Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-15T07:20:12Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-15T07:20:12Z</begin><end>2021-09-15T13:20:12Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is Very Low with little change likely over the next 24 hours.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-15T08:00:00Z">S19W74</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-15T14:45:29Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-15T14:45:29Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-15T14:45:29Z</begin><end>2021-09-15T20:45:29Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is Very Low with little change likely over the next 24 hours.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2866</id><location time="2021-09-15T14:00:00Z">S19W79</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-15T20:06:41Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-15T20:06:41Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-15T20:06:41Z</begin><end>2021-09-16T02:06:41Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to remain Very Low, although there is still a slight chance of C-class flares as AR2866 transitions to the far side of the Sun.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-16T02:03:40Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-16T02:03:40Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-16T02:03:40Z</begin><end>2021-09-16T08:03:40Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to remain Very Low, although there is still a slight chance of C-class flares as AR2866 transitions to the far side of the Sun.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-16T08:06:58Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-16T08:06:58Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-16T08:06:58Z</begin><end>2021-09-16T14:06:58Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to remain Very Low, although there is still a slight chance of C-class flares as AR2866 transitions to the far side of the Sun.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-16T14:09:47Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-16T14:09:47Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-16T14:09:47Z</begin><end>2021-09-16T20:09:47Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to remain Very Low, with a spotless disc. A 5% daily chance of C-class flares is maintained above background for now given Ex-2866 has only recently left the front side.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-16T20:26:22Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-16T20:26:22Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-16T20:26:22Z</begin><end>2021-09-17T02:26:22Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to remain Very Low, with a spotless disc.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-17T02:46:17Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-17T02:46:17Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-17T02:46:17Z</begin><end>2021-09-17T08:46:17Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to remain Very Low, with a spotless disc.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-17T08:21:13Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-17T08:21:13Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-17T08:21:13Z</begin><end>2021-09-17T14:21:13Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to remain Low or Very Low, with a spotless disc over the next 24 hours. C-class probabilities have been raised following the C5 flare from ex-2860, which is still beyond the southeast limb. However, as ex-2860 turns onto the visible disc over the coming days, probabilities are likely to be re-assessed further.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-17T15:11:41Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-17T15:11:41Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-17T15:11:41Z</begin><end>2021-09-17T21:11:41Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to remain Low or Very Low, with a spotless disc over the next 24 hours. C-class probabilities have been raised following the C5 flare from ex-2860, which is still beyond the southeast limb. However, as ex-2860 turns onto the visible disc over the coming days, probabilities are likely to be re-assessed further.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-17T20:20:50Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-17T20:20:50Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-17T20:20:50Z</begin><end>2021-09-18T02:20:50Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to remain Low or Very Low, with a spotless disc during the past 24 hours. C-class probabilities have been raised a little further following the C5 flare from ex-2860, which is still beyond the southeast limb.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-18T02:53:56Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-18T02:53:56Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-18T02:53:56Z</begin><end>2021-09-18T08:53:56Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to remain Low or Very Low, with a spotless disc during the past 24 hours. There is a 30% probability for C-class flares and 5% for M-Class flares, following the C5 flare&#160;(on 17Sep), from ex-2860 which is still beyond the southeast limb.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-18T08:12:12Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-18T08:12:12Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-18T08:12:12Z</begin><end>2021-09-18T14:12:12Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to remain Low or Very Low, with a spotless disc during the past 24 hours. There is a 30% probability for C-class flares and 5% for M-Class flares, following the C5 flare&#160;(on 17Sep), from ex-2860 which is still beyond the southeast limb.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-18T14:30:57Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-18T14:30:57Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-18T14:30:57Z</begin><end>2021-09-18T20:30:57Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to remain Low, with a spotless disc during the past 24 hours. There is a 40% probability for C-class flares and 5% for M-Class flares, following the C2.6 flare&#160;(on 18 Sep), from ex-2860 which is just about to appear around the southeast limb.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-18T20:02:01Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-18T20:02:01Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-18T20:02:01Z</begin><end>2021-09-19T02:02:01Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is Likely to remain Low, with flare probabilities raised above raw figures for an Hax group. This is likely to only form the observable part of the spot group as it rotates onto the disc.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-18T18:00:00Z">S29E84</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-19T02:14:19Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-19T02:14:19Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-19T02:14:19Z</begin><end>2021-09-19T08:14:19Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is Likely to remain Low, with flare probabilities raised significantly above raw figures for an Hax group. This is likely to only form the observable part of the spot group as it rotates onto the disc, and C-class flares are assessed as being Likely.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-19T01:30:00Z">S28E75</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-19T08:36:02Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-19T08:36:02Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-19T08:36:02Z</begin><end>2021-09-19T14:36:02Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is Likely to remain Low, with flare probabilities raised significantly above raw figures for an Hax group. This is likely to only form the observable part of the spot group as it rotates onto the disc, and C-class flares are assessed as being Likely.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-19T08:00:00Z">S28E72</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-19T14:24:01Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-19T14:24:01Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-19T14:24:01Z</begin><end>2021-09-19T20:24:01Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is Likely to remain Low, with flare probabilities raised significantly above raw figures for an Hax group. This is likely to only form the observable part of the spot group as it rotates onto the disc, and C-class flares are assessed as being Likely.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-19T14:00:00Z">S28E68</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-19T20:58:48Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-19T20:58:48Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-19T20:58:48Z</begin><end>2021-09-20T02:58:48Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is Likely to remain Low, with flare probabilities indicating further isolated C-flares from 2871.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-19T20:00:00Z">S28E66</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-19T20:00:00Z">N16E58</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-20T02:33:46Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-20T02:33:46Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-20T02:33:46Z</begin><end>2021-09-20T08:33:46Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is likely to remain Low, with flare probabilities indicating further isolated C-flares. These are most likely to originate from 2871, with issued probabilities raised slightly from raw figures to reflect recent flare history over the past few days.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-20T02:00:00Z">S28E63</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-20T02:00:00Z">N16E55</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-20T08:54:55Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-20T08:54:55Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-20T08:54:55Z</begin><end>2021-09-20T14:54:55Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is currently very low, with only small B-flares observed from AR2871. This is expected to remain at this level, with a chance of rising to low at times with any C-flares that occur. There is a slight chance of increasing to Moderate, due to an isolated M-flare.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-20T08:00:00Z">S28E63</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.69</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.23</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2872</id><location time="2021-09-20T08:00:00Z">N17E52</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-20T08:00:00Z">N26E01</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-20T14:52:14Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-20T14:52:14Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-20T14:52:14Z</begin><end>2021-09-20T20:52:14Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is currently very low, with only small B-flares observed, mainly from AR2871 and is expected to remain at this level, with a chance of rising to low at times with any C-flares that occur. There is a slight chance of increasing to Moderate, due to an isolated M-flare.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-20T14:00:00Z">S29E57</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.69</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.23</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2872</id><location time="2021-09-20T14:00:00Z">N16E48</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-20T14:00:00Z">N26W01</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-20T20:04:03Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-20T20:04:03Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-20T20:04:03Z</begin><end>2021-09-21T02:04:03Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is currently very low, with only small B-flares observed, mainly from AR2871 and is expected to remain at this level, with a chance of rising to low at times with any C-flares that occur. There is a slight chance of increasing to Moderate, due to an isolated M-flare.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-20T20:00:00Z">S28E54</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.69</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.23</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2872</id><location time="2021-09-20T20:00:00Z">N16E46</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">12873</id><location time="2021-09-20T20:00:00Z">N26W04</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.16</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-21T02:19:15Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-21T02:19:15Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-21T02:19:15Z</begin><end>2021-09-21T08:19:15Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is currently very low, with only small B-flares observed, mainly from AR2871 and is expected to remain at this level, with a chance of rising to low at times with any C-flares that occur. There is a slight chance of increasing to Moderate, due to an isolated M-flare.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-21T02:00:00Z">S28E50</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.69</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.23</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2872</id><location time="2021-09-21T02:00:00Z">N16E42</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">12873</id><location time="2021-09-21T02:00:00Z">N26W08</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.16</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-21T02:00:00Z">S25W01</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-21T08:56:31Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-21T08:56:31Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-21T08:56:31Z</begin><end>2021-09-21T14:56:31Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is currently Very Low, with only small B-flares observed. Solar activity is expected to remain Very Low, with a chance of rising to Low at times with any C-flares that occur, most likely from AR2871 or possibly from developing AR2873. There is a slight chance of increasing to Moderate, due to an isolated M-flare.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-21T08:00:00Z">S29E47</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2872</id><location time="2021-09-21T08:00:00Z">N15E36</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2873</id><location time="2021-09-21T08:00:00Z">N26W12</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.56</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-21T08:00:00Z">S26W04</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-21T08:00:00Z">S26W31</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-21T15:53:59Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-21T15:53:59Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-21T15:53:59Z</begin><end>2021-09-21T21:53:59Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is currently Low, with B and isolated C-flares observed corresponding to magnetic reconnection within AR2871 and AR2873. Solar activity is expected to remain Low or Very Low, with a chance of isolated C-flares. There is a slight chance of an isolated M-flare depending on how the two bigger regions develop.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-21T14:00:00Z">S29E44</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2872</id><location time="2021-09-21T14:00:00Z">N16E34</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2873</id><location time="2021-09-21T14:00:00Z">N26W15</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-21T14:00:00Z">S25W08</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-21T14:00:00Z">S25W35</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-21T20:06:55Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-21T20:06:55Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-21T20:06:55Z</begin><end>2021-09-22T02:06:55Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low, with a few C-class flares observed, the largest being a C1.8 originating from AR2873 at 21/1153 UTC. Solar activity is expected to remain Low or Very Low, with a chance of isolated C-flares. There is a slight chance of an isolated M-flare depending on how the two bigger regions (AR2871 &amp; AR2873) develop.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-21T20:00:00Z">S29E40</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2872</id><location time="2021-09-21T20:00:00Z">N16E31</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2873</id><location time="2021-09-21T20:00:00Z">N26W18</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-21T20:00:00Z">S24W11</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-21T20:00:00Z">S26W35</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-22T02:03:11Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-22T02:03:11Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-22T02:03:11Z</begin><end>2021-09-22T08:03:11Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low, with a few C-class flares observed, the largest being a C1.8 originating from AR2873 at 21/1153 UTC. Solar activity is expected to remain Low, with a chance of further C-Class flares, primarily from AR2871 which remains the most complex region. There is also a slight chance of M-class flares (R1 Radio Blackouts) although this region appears very stable so far.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-22T02:00:00Z">S29E37</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2872</id><location time="2021-09-22T02:00:00Z">N16E28</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2873</id><location time="2021-09-22T02:00:00Z">N26W21</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-22T02:00:00Z">S25W14</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-22T02:00:00Z">S31W23</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-22T02:00:00Z">S26W39</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-22T08:49:16Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-22T08:49:16Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-22T08:49:16Z</begin><end>2021-09-22T14:49:16Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low, with a couple of C-class flares observed, the largest being a C1.8 originating from AR2873 at 21/1153 UTC. Solar activity is expected to remain Very low to Low, with a chance of further C-Class flares. There is also a slight chance of M-class flares (R1/R2 Radio Blackouts), mainly from AR2871, despite its apparent stability.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-22T08:00:00Z">S29E34</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2872</id><location time="2021-09-22T08:00:00Z">N16E25</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2873</id><location time="2021-09-22T08:00:00Z">N25W24</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.16</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2874</id><location time="2021-09-22T08:00:00Z">S25W17</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2875</id><location time="2021-09-22T08:00:00Z">S31W26</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-22T08:00:00Z">S26W42</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-22T14:38:05Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-22T14:38:05Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-22T14:38:05Z</begin><end>2021-09-22T20:38:05Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low, with one C-class flare observed from AR2871 in the last 24 hours, and a number of small B-class flares. Solar activity is expected to remain Very low to Low, with a chance of further C-Class flares. There is also a slight chance of M-class flares (R1/R2 Radio Blackouts), mainly from AR2871, despite its apparent stability.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-22T14:00:00Z">S29E30</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2872</id><location time="2021-09-22T14:00:00Z">N16E21</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2873</id><location time="2021-09-22T14:00:00Z">N25W28</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.16</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2874</id><location time="2021-09-22T14:00:00Z">S25W21</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2875</id><location time="2021-09-22T14:00:00Z">S31W30</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-22T14:00:00Z">S26W46</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-22T21:14:28Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-22T21:14:28Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-22T21:14:28Z</begin><end>2021-09-23T03:14:28Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low, with one C-class flare observed from AR2871 in the last 24 hours, and a many number of small B-class flares. Solar activity is expected to remain Very low to Low, with a chance of further C-Class flares. There is also a slight chance of M-class flares (R1/R2 Radio Blackouts), mainly from AR2871, despite its apparent stability.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-22T20:00:00Z">S29E27</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2872</id><location time="2021-09-22T20:00:00Z">N17E18</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.16</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2873</id><location time="2021-09-22T20:00:00Z">N25W31</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.16</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2874</id><location time="2021-09-22T20:00:00Z">S25W24</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2875</id><location time="2021-09-22T20:00:00Z">S31W33</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-23T02:39:46Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-23T02:39:46Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-23T02:39:46Z</begin><end>2021-09-23T08:39:46Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low, with one C-class flare observed from AR2871 in the last 24 hours, and a many number of small B-class flares. Solar activity is expected to remain Very low to Low, with a chance of further C-Class flares. There is also a slight chance of M-class flares (R1/R2 Radio Blackouts), mainly from AR2871 or AR2872.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-23T02:00:00Z">S29E24</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2872</id><location time="2021-09-23T02:00:00Z">N17E15</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.95</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.11</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2873</id><location time="2021-09-23T02:00:00Z">N27W34</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.16</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2874</id><location time="2021-09-23T02:00:00Z">S25W27</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2875</id><location time="2021-09-23T02:00:00Z">S31W36</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-23T08:03:40Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-23T08:03:40Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-23T08:03:40Z</begin><end>2021-09-23T14:03:40Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity rose to moderate with a flare of M2.7 measured at GOES17 at 23/0444UTC. This was produced by the largest and most complex spot, AR2871, which is assessed as Dki/BD, and contributes significantly to the ongoing daily Chance of M-class flares. Both Type II and Type IV radio emissions were seen with this large flare, strongly implying a CME was released.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-23T02:00:00Z">S28E23</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.72</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.26</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2872</id><location time="2021-09-23T02:00:00Z">N17E13</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2873</id><location time="2021-09-23T02:00:00Z">N26W37</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.95</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.11</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-23T14:52:38Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-23T14:52:38Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-23T14:52:38Z</begin><end>2021-09-23T20:52:38Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity rose to moderate with a flare of M2.7 measured at GOES17 at 23/0444UTC. This was produced by the largest and most complex spot, AR2871, which is assessed as Dki/BD. The raw probabilities of flares have been pared back for the issued figures, with recent trends suggesting simplifying trends in all groups.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-23T14:15:00Z">S28E17</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.72</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.26</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2872</id><location time="2021-09-23T14:15:00Z">N17E08</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.56</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2873</id><location time="2021-09-23T14:15:00Z">N26W42</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.33</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.18</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-23T20:58:34Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-23T20:58:34Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-23T20:58:34Z</begin><end>2021-09-24T02:58:34Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity over the past 24 hours has been moderate, with a flare of M2.7 measured at GOES17 at 23/0444UTC and a M1.9 flare peaking at 23/1528 UTC. These flares were produced by the largest and most complex spot, AR2871. The issued probabilities of flares have been reduced, from the previous issue and also compared to the raw probabilities, due to the simplifying trend of the most significant groups.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-23T20:00:00Z">S28E15</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.72</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.26</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2872</id><location time="2021-09-23T20:00:00Z">N17E05</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2873</id><location time="2021-09-23T20:00:00Z">N26W44</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2875</id><location time="2021-09-23T20:00:00Z">S33W44</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-24T02:14:36Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-24T02:14:36Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-24T02:14:36Z</begin><end>2021-09-24T08:14:36Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity over the past 24 hours has been moderate, with a flare of M2.7 measured at GOES17 at 23/0444UTC and a M1.9 flare peaking at 23/1528 UTC. These flares were produced by the largest and most complex spot, AR2871. The issued probabilities of flares have been reduced compared to the raw probabilities, due to the apparent gradual decrease in energy available for flares in AR2871.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-24T01:15:00Z">S28E12</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2872</id><location time="2021-09-24T01:15:00Z">N17E02</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2873</id><location time="2021-09-24T01:15:00Z">N26W47</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2875</id><location time="2021-09-24T01:15:00Z">S33W47</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-24T08:48:20Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-24T08:48:20Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-24T08:48:20Z</begin><end>2021-09-24T14:48:20Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity over the past 24 hours has been moderate, with a M1.9 flare peaking at 23/1528 UTC from AR2871. With the emergence of a second delta spot in this region, the M-class flare probability has been slightly increased.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-24T08:00:00Z">S28E09</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2872</id><location time="2021-09-24T08:00:00Z">N17W02</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2873</id><location time="2021-09-24T08:00:00Z">N25W51</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2875</id><location time="2021-09-24T08:00:00Z">S33W51</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-24T14:35:12Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-24T14:35:12Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-24T14:35:12Z</begin><end>2021-09-24T20:35:12Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity over the past 24 hours has been moderate, with a M1.9 flare peaking at 23/1528 UTC from AR2871, although with just two C-class flares since then. With two delta spots in this region, a slight chance of further M-class flares is maintained.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-24T14:00:00Z">S27E06</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2872</id><location time="2021-09-24T14:00:00Z">N17W05</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2873</id><location time="2021-09-24T14:00:00Z">N26W51</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2875</id><location time="2021-09-24T14:00:00Z">S33W54</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-24T20:52:43Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-24T20:52:43Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-24T20:52:43Z</begin><end>2021-09-25T02:52:43Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low over the last 24 hours, and expected to continue at Low to Very Low levels. One C-flare was observed in the last 24 hours from AR2871, however a couple of M-flares were also observed from this region on the 23rd. Whilst small, this sunspot has sufficient magnetic complexity to give a slight chance of further isolated M-flares.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-24T20:00:00Z">S27E02</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2872</id><location time="2021-09-24T20:00:00Z">N17W08</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2873</id><location time="2021-09-24T20:00:00Z">N26W54</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2875</id><location time="2021-09-24T20:00:00Z">S33W57</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2876</id><location time="2021-09-24T20:00:00Z">S23E06</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-24T20:00:00Z">N19E55</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-25T02:33:55Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-25T02:33:55Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-25T02:33:55Z</begin><end>2021-09-25T08:33:55Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low over the last 24 hours, and expected to continue at Low to Very Low levels. One C-flare was observed in the last 24 hours from AR2871, however a couple of M-flares were also observed from this region on the 23rd. Whilst small, this sunspot has sufficient magnetic complexity to give a slight chance of further isolated M-flares.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-25T02:00:00Z">S27W02</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2872</id><location time="2021-09-25T02:00:00Z">N17W12</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2876</id><location time="2021-09-25T02:00:00Z">S23E02</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-25T02:00:00Z">N19E51</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-25T08:02:54Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-25T08:02:54Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-25T08:02:54Z</begin><end>2021-09-25T14:02:54Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low over the last 24 hours, and expected to continue at Low to Very Low levels. One C-flare was observed in the last 24 hours from AR2871, however a couple of M-flares were also observed from this region on the 23rd. Whilst small, this sunspot still has sufficient magnetic complexity to give a slight chance of further isolated M-flares.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-25T08:00:00Z">S27W05</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2872</id><location time="2021-09-25T08:00:00Z">N17W15</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-25T14:42:18Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-25T14:42:18Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-25T14:42:18Z</begin><end>2021-09-25T20:42:18Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low over the last 24 hours, and expected to continue at Low to Very Low levels. Two C-flares were observed in the last 24 hours from AR2871, however a couple of M-flares were also observed from this region on the 23rd. Whilst small and in apparent decay, this sunspot still has sufficient magnetic complexity to give a slight chance of further isolated M-flares.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-25T14:00:00Z">S27W08</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2872</id><location time="2021-09-25T14:00:00Z">N17W18</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-25T20:44:12Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-25T20:44:12Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-25T20:44:12Z</begin><end>2021-09-26T02:44:12Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low over the last 24 hours, and expected to continue at Low to Very Low levels. Three C-flares were observed in the last 24 hours from AR2871, however a couple of M-flares were also observed from this region on the 23rd. Whilst small and in apparent decay, this sunspot still has sufficient magnetic complexity to give a slight chance of further isolated M-flares.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-25T20:00:00Z">S29W12</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2872</id><location time="2021-09-25T20:00:00Z">N17W18</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-25T20:00:00Z">S22E50</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-26T02:42:54Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-26T02:42:54Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-26T02:42:54Z</begin><end>2021-09-26T08:42:54Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low over the last 24 hours, and expected to continue at Low to Very Low levels. Three C-flares were observed in the last 24 hours from AR2871, however a couple of M-flares were also observed from this region on the 23rd. Whilst small and in apparent decay, this sunspot still has sufficient magnetic complexity to give a very slight chance of further isolated M-flares.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-26T02:00:00Z">S29W15</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2872</id><location time="2021-09-26T02:00:00Z">N17W25</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-26T02:00:00Z">S22E47</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-26T02:00:00Z">S18E12</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-26T08:02:41Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-26T08:02:41Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-26T08:02:41Z</begin><end>2021-09-26T14:02:41Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low over the last 24 hours, and expected to continue at Low to Very Low levels. Three C-flares were observed in the last 24 hours from AR2871, however a couple of M-flares were also observed from this region on the 23rd. Whilst small and in apparent decay, this sunspot still has sufficient magnetic complexity to give a very slight chance of further isolated M-flares.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-26T08:00:00Z">S29W18</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2872</id><location time="2021-09-26T08:00:00Z">N17W28</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2878</id><location time="2021-09-26T08:00:00Z">S22E44</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2877</id><location time="2021-09-26T08:00:00Z">S18E09</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-26T14:34:22Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-26T14:34:22Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-26T14:34:22Z</begin><end>2021-09-26T20:34:22Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low over the last 24 hours, and expected to continue at Low to Very Low levels. Three C-flares were observed in the last 24 hours, two from AR2871, however a couple of M-flares were also observed from this region on the 23rd. Whilst small and in apparent decay, this sunspot still has sufficient magnetic complexity to give a very slight chance of further isolated M-flares.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-26T14:00:00Z">S29W21</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2872</id><location time="2021-09-26T14:00:00Z">N17W31</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2877</id><location time="2021-09-26T14:00:00Z">S18E06</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2878</id><location time="2021-09-26T14:00:00Z">S22E41</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-26T21:00:16Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-26T21:00:16Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-26T21:00:16Z</begin><end>2021-09-27T03:00:16Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity expected to be low or very low, with two C-class flares over the last 24 hours. The most recent of these was a C1.6 flare from 2871 in the southwest quadrant, which contributes much of the flare risk. This region continues to evolve and will be monitored closely for further flare potential.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-26T20:00:00Z">S29W25</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.56</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2872</id><location time="2021-09-26T20:00:00Z">N17W35</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2877</id><location time="2021-09-26T20:00:00Z">S18E02</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2878</id><location time="2021-09-26T20:00:00Z">S22E37</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-27T03:00:13Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-27T03:00:13Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-27T03:00:13Z</begin><end>2021-09-27T09:00:13Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity expected to be low or very low, with two C-class flares over the last 24 hours. The most recent of these was a C1.6 flare from 2871 in the southwest quadrant, which contributes much of the flare risk. This region continues to evolve and will be monitored closely for further flare potential. the other 4 regions appear benign and present a negigible flare risk.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-27T02:00:00Z">S29W28</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2872</id><location time="2021-09-27T02:00:00Z">N17W38</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2877</id><location time="2021-09-27T02:00:00Z">S18W01</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2878</id><location time="2021-09-27T02:00:00Z">S22E34</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-27T02:00:00Z">N13W15</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-27T08:43:24Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-27T08:43:24Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-27T08:43:24Z</begin><end>2021-09-27T14:43:24Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity expected to be low or very low, with just one C-class flare over the last 24 hours. This was a C1.6 flare from 2871 in the southwest quadrant, however this region has faded significantly in the last 12 hours. 2871 has been the main flare risk with other regions relatively simple and many are fading. As such the overall C-class flare risk has been reduced to 40%, with the M-class risk down to 5%. This is likely to reduce further if 2871 continues to fade.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-27T08:00:00Z">S29W31</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2877</id><location time="2021-09-27T08:00:00Z">S18W04</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2878</id><location time="2021-09-27T08:00:00Z">S22E31</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-09-27T08:00:00Z">N13W21</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-27T14:53:47Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-27T14:53:47Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-27T14:53:47Z</begin><end>2021-09-27T20:53:47Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity expected to be low or very low, only B-class flares over the last 24 hours. 2871 has been the main flare risk with other regions relatively simple and many are fading. However 2871 is also fading and has reduced in complexity. As such the overall C-class flare risk is 40%, with the M-class risk down to 2%. This is likely to reduce further if 2871 continues to fade.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-27T14:00:00Z">S29W34</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2877</id><location time="2021-09-27T14:00:00Z">S19W08</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2878</id><location time="2021-09-27T14:00:00Z">S22E25</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2879</id><location time="2021-09-27T14:00:00Z">N13W25</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-27T20:15:45Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-27T20:15:45Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-27T20:15:45Z</begin><end>2021-09-28T02:15:45Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity expected to be low or very low, only B-class flares over the last 24 hours. 2871 has been the main flare risk, although is decaying. However, 2877 is showing renewed growth and may develop greater flare potential. As such the overall probabilities for C-class flare risk is maintained at 40%, with the M-class risk 2%.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-27T20:00:00Z">S29W37</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2877</id><location time="2021-09-27T20:00:00Z">S19W12</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-28T02:18:51Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-28T02:18:51Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-28T02:18:51Z</begin><end>2021-09-28T08:18:51Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity expected to be low or very low, only B-class flares over the last 24 hours. 2871 has been the main flare risk, although is decaying. However, 2877 is showing continued slight growth and may develop greater flare potential. As such the overall probabilities for C-class flare risk is maintained at 40%, with the M-class risk 2%.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-28T02:00:00Z">S29W40</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2877</id><location time="2021-09-28T02:00:00Z">S19W15</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-28T09:17:07Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-28T09:17:07Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-28T09:17:07Z</begin><end>2021-09-28T15:17:07Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity expected to be low, with a C-class flare over the last 24 hours. The C-class flare came from a filament eruption in the southwest quadrant at 28/0651 UTC, which has produced a CME seen in STEREO imagery, and is pending analysis. AR2871 has been the main flare risk, although is now decaying. However, 2877 is showing continued slight growth and may develop greater flare potential. The newly numbered AR2880 in the northeast quadrant may continue to develop, which will be monitored for any flare activity. As such the overall probabilities for C-class flare risk is maintained at 40%, with the M-class risk 2%.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-28T08:00:00Z">S29W44</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2877</id><location time="2021-09-28T08:00:00Z">S18W18</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-09-28T08:00:00Z">N30E64</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-28T14:06:03Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-28T14:06:03Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-28T14:06:03Z</begin><end>2021-09-28T20:06:03Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity expected to be low, with one C-class flare observed over the last 24 hours. The C-class flare came from a filament eruption in the southwest quadrant at 28/0651 UTC, near AR2871, which has produced a CME observed in STEREO imagery, still awaiting LASCO imagery for a more detailed analysis. AR2871 has been the main flare risk, although is now decaying. However, 2877 is showing continued slight growth and may develop greater flare potential. The newly numbered AR2880 in the northeast quadrant is currently simple and quiet. As such the overall probabilities for C-class flare risk is maintained at 40%, with the M-class risk 2%.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-28T14:00:00Z">S29W47</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2877</id><location time="2021-09-28T14:00:00Z">S18W21</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-09-28T14:00:00Z">N31E61</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-28T20:39:46Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-28T20:39:46Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-28T20:39:46Z</begin><end>2021-09-29T02:39:46Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity expected to be low, with one C-class flare observed over the last 24 hours. The C-class flare came from a filament eruption in the southwest quadrant at 28/0651 UTC, near AR2871, which has produced a CME observed in STEREO and Lasco imagery. AR2871 has been the main flare risk, although is now decaying. However, 2877 and AR2880 are showing continued slight growth and may develop greater flare potential. The newly numbered AR2881 in the northwest quadrant is currently simple and quiet. As such the overall probabilities for C-class flare risk is maintained at 50%, with the M-class risk 5%.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-28T20:00:00Z">S29W41</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2877</id><location time="2021-09-28T20:00:00Z">S18W25</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-09-28T20:00:00Z">N31E67</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2881</id><location time="2021-09-28T20:00:00Z">N16W17</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-29T01:55:32Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-29T01:55:32Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-29T01:55:32Z</begin><end>2021-09-29T07:55:32Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity expected to be low, with one C-class flare observed over the last 24 hours. The C-class flare came from a filament eruption in the southwest quadrant at 28/0651 UTC, near AR2871, which has produced a CME observed in STEREO and Lasco imagery. AR2871 continues to decay. AR2877 is stable. AR2880 is showing continued slight growth and now shows penumbra at both ends. It may develop greater flare potential. The newly numbered AR2881 in the northwest quadrant is currently simple and quiet. As such the overall probabilities for C-class flare risk is maintained at 50%, with the M-class risk 5%.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-29T02:00:00Z">S29W53</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2877</id><location time="2021-09-29T02:00:00Z">S18W27</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-09-29T02:00:00Z">N30E55</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2881</id><location time="2021-09-29T02:00:00Z">N16W20</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-29T01:56:30Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-29T01:56:30Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-29T01:56:30Z</begin><end>2021-09-29T07:56:30Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity expected to be low, with one C-class flare observed over the last 24 hours. The C-class flare came from a filament eruption in the southwest quadrant at 28/0651 UTC, near AR2871, which has produced a CME observed in STEREO and Lasco imagery. AR2871 continues to decay. AR2877 is stable. AR2880 is showing continued slight growth and now shows penumbra at both ends. It may develop greater flare potential. The newly numbered AR2881 in the northwest quadrant is currently simple and quiet. As such the overall probabilities for C-class flare risk is maintained at 50%, with the M-class risk 5%.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-29T02:00:00Z">S29W53</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2877</id><location time="2021-09-29T02:00:00Z">S18W27</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-09-29T02:00:00Z">N30E55</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2881</id><location time="2021-09-29T02:00:00Z">N16W20</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-29T09:21:02Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-29T09:21:02Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-29T09:21:02Z</begin><end>2021-09-29T15:21:02Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity expected to be low, with one C-class flare observed over the last 24 hours. The C-class flare came from a filament eruption in the southwest quadrant at 28/0651 UTC, near AR2871, which has produced a CME observed in STEREO and LASCO imagery. AR2871 continues to decay. AR2877 is stable. AR2880 is showing continued slight growth and now shows penumbra at both ends. It may develop greater flare potential. As such the overall probabilities for C-class flare risk is maintained at 60%, with the M-class risk 5%.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-29T09:00:00Z">S29W56</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2877</id><location time="2021-09-29T09:00:00Z">S17W30</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-09-29T09:00:00Z">N30E52</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-29T14:56:18Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-29T14:56:18Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-29T14:56:18Z</begin><end>2021-09-29T20:56:18Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to be low, with one C-class flare observed over the last 24 hours, which was a minor C1.0 flare which originated from AR2880 at 29/1423UTC. AR2877 (Cao/Beta-Gamma) continues to show minor B-class flares, with a 20% chance of producing C-class flares. AR2871 (Alpha/Axx) continues to decay and is quiet. As such the overall probabilities for C-class flare risk is maintained at 60%, with the M-class risk 5%.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-29T14:00:00Z">S29W56</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2877</id><location time="2021-09-29T14:00:00Z">S17W30</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-09-29T14:00:00Z">N30E52</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-29T20:21:22Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-29T20:21:22Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-29T20:21:22Z</begin><end>2021-09-30T02:21:22Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to be Low, with C class flares likely occurring from AR2880 and possibly AR2877. There is also a 30% chance of an M-class flare.&#160;&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2871</id><location time="2021-09-29T20:00:00Z">S29W62</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2877</id><location time="2021-09-29T20:00:00Z">S18W37</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-09-29T20:00:00Z">N30E46</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.72</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.26</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2881</id><location time="2021-09-29T20:00:00Z">N16W31</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-30T02:26:03Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-30T02:26:03Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-30T02:26:03Z</begin><end>2021-09-30T08:26:03Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to be Low, with C class flares likely occurring from both AR2880 and AR2877. There is also a 30% chance of activity increase to moderate with an M-class flare.&#160;&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2877</id><location time="2021-09-30T02:00:00Z">S18W41</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-09-30T02:00:00Z">N30E41</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.72</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.26</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-30T08:50:46Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-30T08:50:46Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-30T08:50:46Z</begin><end>2021-09-30T14:50:46Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to be Low, with C class flares likely occurring from both AR2880 and AR2877. There is also a 30% chance of an M-class flare.&#160;&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2877</id><location time="2021-09-30T08:00:00Z">S18W44</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-09-30T08:00:00Z">N30E39</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.72</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.26</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-30T15:02:55Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-30T15:02:55Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-30T15:02:55Z</begin><end>2021-09-30T21:02:55Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to be Low, with C class flares likely occurring from both AR2880 and AR2877. There is also a 15% chance of an M-class flare.&#160;&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2877</id><location time="2021-09-30T14:00:00Z">S18W44</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-09-30T14:00:00Z">N30E39</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-09-30T20:05:03Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-09-30T20:05:03Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-09-30T20:05:03Z</begin><end>2021-10-01T02:05:03Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to be Low, with a chance of C class flares from either AR2880 or AR2877. There remains a 15% chance of an M-class flare.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2877</id><location time="2021-09-30T20:00:00Z">S19W50</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-09-30T20:00:00Z">N30E33</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-01T02:23:08Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-01T02:23:08Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-01T02:23:08Z</begin><end>2021-10-01T08:23:08Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to be Low, with a chance of C class flares from either AR2880 or AR2877. There remains a very slight chance of an M-class flare.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2877</id><location time="2021-10-01T02:00:00Z">S19W54</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-10-01T02:00:00Z">N30E29</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-01T08:43:45Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-01T08:43:45Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-01T08:43:45Z</begin><end>2021-10-01T14:43:45Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to be low, with C-class flares likely from either AR2877 or AR2880. There remains a slight chance of M-class activity.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2877</id><location time="2021-10-01T08:00:00Z">S19W57</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.52</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-10-01T08:00:00Z">N31E26</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-01T14:41:56Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-01T14:41:56Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-01T14:41:56Z</begin><end>2021-10-01T20:41:56Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to be low, with C-class flares likely from either AR2877 or AR2880. There remains a slight chance of M-class activity.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2877</id><location time="2021-10-01T14:00:00Z">S19W61</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.52</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-10-01T14:00:00Z">N31E23</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-01T20:30:35Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-01T20:30:35Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-01T20:30:35Z</begin><end>2021-10-02T02:30:35Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to be low to very low, with a chance of C-class flares from either of the sunspot regions on the visible disc. There remains a very slight chance of increasing to Moderate with any M-flares.&#160; This is despite both spot regions being relatively inert with peak flare of B8.7 in the last 24 hours, from AR2877.&#160;&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2877</id><location time="2021-10-01T20:00:00Z">S19W65</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.31</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-10-01T20:00:00Z">N31E19</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.46</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-02T02:25:17Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-02T02:25:17Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-02T02:25:17Z</begin><end>2021-10-02T08:25:17Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to be low to very low, with a chance of C-class flares from either of the sunspot regions on the visible disc. There remains a very slight chance of increasing to Moderate with any M-flares. This is despite both spot regions being relatively inert with peak flare of B8.7 in the last 24 hours, from AR2877.&#160;&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2877</id><location time="2021-10-02T02:00:00Z">S19W68</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.55</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-10-02T02:00:00Z">N31E16</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.46</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-02T08:48:50Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-02T08:48:50Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-02T08:48:50Z</begin><end>2021-10-02T14:48:50Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to be low to very low, with a chance of C-class flares from either of the sunspot regions on the visible disc. There remains a very slight chance of increasing to Moderate with any M-flares, mainly from 2877 which has sufficient magnetic flux to achieve this. However, despite this both spot regions have been relatively inert with a peak flare of B8.7 in the last 24 hours, from 2877.&#160;&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2877</id><location time="2021-10-02T08:00:00Z">S19W71</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.55</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-10-02T08:00:00Z">N31E13</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.46</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-02T14:39:05Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-02T14:39:05Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-02T14:39:05Z</begin><end>2021-10-02T20:39:05Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to be low to very low, with a chance of C-class flares from either of the sunspot regions on the visible disc. There remains a very slight chance of increasing to Moderate with any M-flares, mainly from 2877 which has sufficient magnetic flux to achieve this. However, despite this both spot regions have been relatively inert with no significant flares in the last 24 hours.&#160;&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2877</id><location time="2021-10-02T14:00:00Z">S19W74</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.55</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-10-02T14:00:00Z">N31E11</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.46</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-02T20:23:51Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-02T20:23:51Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-02T20:23:51Z</begin><end>2021-10-03T02:23:51Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to be low or very low, with a chance of C-class flares, and just a slight chance of any M-class activity, mainly from AR2877</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2877</id><location time="2021-10-02T20:00:00Z">S19W78</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.55</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-10-02T20:00:00Z">N31E07</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.46</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-03T02:24:22Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-03T02:24:22Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-03T02:24:22Z</begin><end>2021-10-03T08:24:22Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to be low or very low, with a chance of C-class flares, and just a slight chance of any M-class activity, mainly from AR2877</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2877</id><location time="2021-10-03T02:00:00Z">S19W81</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.55</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-10-03T02:00:00Z">N31E04</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.46</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-03T14:25:53Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-03T14:25:53Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-03T14:25:53Z</begin><end>2021-10-03T20:25:53Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to be Low or Very Low, with further C-class flares likely, and a slight chance of an M-class flare. This activity is expected to mainly come from AR2880 but contributions are also likely from the regions on both the west and east limbs.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-10-03T14:00:00Z">N31W03</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.46</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-10-03T14:00:00Z">N16E84</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-03T08:05:13Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-03T08:05:13Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-03T08:05:13Z</begin><end>2021-10-03T14:05:13Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to be low or very low, with a chance of C-class flares, and just a slight chance of an M-class flare. This activity is expected to mainly come from AR2880 but contributions are also likely from the regions on both the west and east limbs.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-10-03T20:00:00Z">N31E01</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.46</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-03T20:05:16Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-03T20:05:16Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-03T20:05:16Z</begin><end>2021-10-04T02:05:16Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to be Low or Very Low, with a chance of further C-class flares, and a slight chance of an M-class flare. Now region 2877 has rotated around the west limb, issued probabilities have been lowered slightly.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-10-03T20:00:00Z">N31W06</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.46</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-10-03T20:00:00Z">N16E81</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-04T02:03:30Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-04T02:03:30Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-04T02:03:30Z</begin><end>2021-10-04T08:03:30Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to be Low or Very Low, with a chance of further C-class flares, and a slight chance of an M-class flare. Issued probabilities have been lowered slightly from raw values to reflect recent flare history.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-10-04T02:00:00Z">N31W09</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.46</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-04T02:00:00Z">N16E79</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-04T08:01:09Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-04T08:01:09Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-04T08:01:09Z</begin><end>2021-10-04T14:01:09Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to be Low or Very Low, with a chance of C-class flares, and a slight chance of an M-class flare. Issued probabilities have been lowered slightly from raw values to reflect recent flare history.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-10-04T08:00:00Z">N31W12</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.46</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-04T08:00:00Z">N16E74</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-04T14:54:01Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-04T14:54:01Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-04T14:54:01Z</begin><end>2021-10-04T20:54:01Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to be Low or Very Low, with a chance of C-class flares, and a slight chance of an M-class flare. The most likely region for this activity is AR2880 but so far this region has been relatively stable. Therefore, the issued probabilities have been lowered slightly from the raw values to reflect recent flare history.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-10-04T14:00:00Z">N31W15</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.46</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-04T14:00:00Z">N16E71</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-04T20:20:45Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-04T20:20:45Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-04T20:20:45Z</begin><end>2021-10-05T02:20:45Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to be Low or Very Low, with a chance of C-class flares, and a slight chance of an M-class flare. The most likely region for this activity is AR2880 but so far this region has been relatively stable. Therefore, the issued probabilities have been lowered slightly from the raw values to reflect recent flare history.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-10-04T20:00:00Z">N31W18</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.46</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-04T20:00:00Z">N16E68</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-05T02:16:16Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-05T02:16:16Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-05T02:16:16Z</begin><end>2021-10-05T08:16:16Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to be Low or Very Low, with a chance of C-class flares, and a slight chance of an M-class flare. The most likely region for this activity is still AR2880, but as it continues to decay the issued probabilities have been lowered to reflect its re-classification, along with recent flare history.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-10-05T02:00:00Z">N31W22</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-05T02:00:00Z">N16E64</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-05T08:43:39Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-05T08:43:39Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-05T08:43:39Z</begin><end>2021-10-05T14:43:39Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to be Low or Very Low, with a chance of C-class flares, and a slight chance of an M-class flare. The most likely region for this activity is still AR2880.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-10-05T08:00:00Z">N31W24</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-05T08:00:00Z">N16E62</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-05T09:00:24Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-05T09:00:24Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-05T09:00:24Z</begin><end>2021-10-05T15:00:24Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to be Low or Very Low, with a chance of C-class flares, and a slight chance of an M-class flare. The most likely region for this activity is still AR2880.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-10-05T08:00:00Z">N31W24</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-05T08:00:00Z">N16E62</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-05T14:45:46Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-05T14:45:46Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-05T14:45:46Z</begin><end>2021-10-05T20:45:46Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to be Low or Very Low, with a chance of C-class flares, and a slight chance of an M-class flare. The most likely region for this activity is still AR2880.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-10-05T14:00:00Z">N31W27</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-05T14:00:00Z">N16E58</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-05T20:55:33Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-05T20:55:33Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-05T20:55:33Z</begin><end>2021-10-06T02:55:33Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to be Low or Very Low, with a slight chance of C-class flares, and a very slight chance of an M-class flare, primarily from AR2880.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-10-05T20:00:00Z">N32W34</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-05T20:00:00Z">N16E56</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-05T22:06:53Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-05T22:06:53Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-05T22:06:53Z</begin><end>2021-10-06T04:06:53Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to be Low or Very Low, with a slight chance of C-class flares, and a very slight chance of an M-class flare, primarily from AR2882.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-10-05T20:00:00Z">N32W34</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-05T20:00:00Z">N16E56</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-06T02:50:07Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-06T02:50:07Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-06T02:50:07Z</begin><end>2021-10-06T08:50:07Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to be Low or Very Low, with a slight chance of C-class flares, and a very slight chance of an M-class flare, primarily from AR2882.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-10-06T02:00:00Z">N32W38</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-06T02:00:00Z">N16E52</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-06T09:13:01Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-06T09:13:01Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-06T09:13:01Z</begin><end>2021-10-06T15:13:01Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to be Low, with a chance of C-class flares, and a very slight chance of an M-class flare, primarily from AR2882.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-10-06T08:00:00Z">N32W41</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-06T08:00:00Z">N16E52</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.24</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-06T14:31:53Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-06T14:31:53Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-06T14:31:53Z</begin><end>2021-10-06T20:31:53Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to be Low, with a slight chance of C-class flares, primarily from AR2882 should it continue to develop.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-10-06T14:00:00Z">N32W44</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-06T14:00:00Z">N16E49</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.24</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-06T20:03:27Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-06T20:03:27Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-06T20:03:27Z</begin><end>2021-10-07T02:03:27Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is likely to remain Very Low, but with a chance of C-class flares and a slight chance of an M-class flare. AR2882 is the primary risk region for this activity, especially if it continues to develop.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-10-06T20:00:00Z">N32W47</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-06T20:00:00Z">N16E46</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.24</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-07T02:04:04Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-07T02:04:04Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-07T02:04:04Z</begin><end>2021-10-07T08:04:04Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is likely to remain Very Low, but with a slight chance of C-class flares. Issued probabilities of this occurring have been increased slightly to reflect previous developments with AR2882 and the uncertainty regarding the region rotating round the southeast limb.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-10-07T02:00:00Z">N32W50</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-07T02:00:00Z">N16E39</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-07T02:04:55Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-07T02:04:55Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-07T02:04:55Z</begin><end>2021-10-07T08:04:55Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is likely to remain Very Low, but with a slight chance of C-class flares. Issued probabilities of this occurring have been increased slightly to reflect previous developments with AR2882 and the uncertainty regarding the region rotating round the southeast limb.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2880</id><location time="2021-10-07T02:00:00Z">N32W50</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-07T02:00:00Z">N16E39</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-07T08:44:21Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-07T08:44:21Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-07T08:44:21Z</begin><end>2021-10-07T14:44:21Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is likely to remain low or very low, with a slight chance of C-class flares. There was a C5.5 flare at 07/0245 UTC from AR2882, hence the probability of further C-class flares has been increased slightly to 20%. The M-class flare risk remains at 5%, due to the relatively high magnetic flux levels associated with 2882.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-07T08:00:00Z">N16E36</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-07T14:53:09Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-07T14:53:09Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-07T14:53:09Z</begin><end>2021-10-07T20:53:09Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is likely to remain low or very low, with a chance of C-class flares. There was a C5.5 flare at 07/0245 UTC from AR2882, and now it has developed slightly since the last analysis, the probability of further C-class flares has been increased slightly to 30%. The M-class flare risk remains at 5%, as the relatively high magnetic flux levels associated with this region have decreased very slightly.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-07T14:00:00Z">N17E33</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.24</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-07T20:35:59Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-07T20:35:59Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-07T20:35:59Z</begin><end>2021-10-08T02:35:59Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is likely to remain low or very low, with a chance of C-class flares. There was a C5.5 flare at 07/0245 UTC from AR2882, and now it has developed slightly since the last analysis, the probability of further C-class flares has been increased to 40%. The M-class flare risk remains at 5%, as the relatively high magnetic flux levels associated with this region have decreased very slightly.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-07T14:00:00Z">N18E30</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-08T02:13:01Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-08T02:13:01Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-08T02:13:01Z</begin><end>2021-10-08T08:13:01Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>There is a Chance of C-class flares based on the raw probabilities for a Zurich Dho spot, however the fact that this group may now also contain a Delta spot may mean this is an underestimate. Despite the possible delta, background X-ray flux appears quiet and a Chance of C-class flares is maintained for now.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-08T01:30:00Z">N18E26</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-08T08:26:19Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-08T08:26:19Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-08T08:26:19Z</begin><end>2021-10-08T14:26:19Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>There is a Chance of C-class flares based on the raw probabilities for a Zurich Dho spot, however the fact that this group may now also contains a small Delta spot may mean this is an underestimate. Despite the possible delta, background X-ray flux appears quiet and a Chance of C-class flares is maintained for now.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-08T08:00:00Z">N18E23</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-08T15:07:18Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-08T15:07:18Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-08T15:07:18Z</begin><end>2021-10-08T21:07:18Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>The chance of further C-class activity has been raised to 60% to reflect recent observed flare activity, which has come from both AR2882 and a plage region toward the southeast limb.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-08T14:00:00Z">N18E19</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-08T20:36:45Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-08T20:36:45Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-08T20:36:45Z</begin><end>2021-10-09T02:36:45Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Further C-class flares remain likely, from the one sunspot region in the northeast, and perhaps from a plage region in the southeast.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-08T20:00:00Z">N18E16</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-09T02:13:07Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-09T02:13:07Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-09T02:13:07Z</begin><end>2021-10-09T08:13:07Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Further C-class flares remain likely from AR2882 in the northeast, and perhaps from a plage region in the southeast.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-09T02:00:00Z">N18E12</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-09T08:21:41Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-09T08:21:41Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-09T08:21:41Z</begin><end>2021-10-09T14:21:41Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Further C-class flares remain likely from AR2882 in the northeast, and perhaps from a plage region in the southeast. A recent M-class flare from AR2882 has resulted in an increase in the M-class flare probabilities.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-09T08:00:00Z">N18E09</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-09T14:58:41Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-09T14:58:41Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-09T14:58:41Z</begin><end>2021-10-09T20:58:41Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Further C-class flares remain likely from AR2882 in the northeast, and perhaps from a plage region in the southeast. A recent M-class flare from AR2882 has resulted in an increase in the M-class flare probabilities.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-09T14:00:00Z">N18E06</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-10-09T14:00:00Z">S20W08</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-09T20:43:43Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-09T20:43:43Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-09T20:43:43Z</begin><end>2021-10-10T02:43:43Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Further C-class flares remain likely from AR2882 in the north centre disk, and perhaps from a plage region in the southeast. The M-class flare from AR2882 during the early hours of 9th UTC has resulted in the elevated M-class flare probabilities.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-09T20:00:00Z">N18E03</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-10-09T20:00:00Z">S20W11</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-10-09T20:00:00Z">N27W44</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-10T02:27:13Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-10T02:27:13Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-10T02:27:13Z</begin><end>2021-10-10T08:27:13Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Further C-class flares remain likely from AR2882 in the north centre disk, and perhaps from a plage region in the southeast. The M-class flare from AR2882 during the early hours of 9th UTC has resulted in the elevated M-class flare probabilities.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-10T02:00:00Z">N18E00</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-10-10T02:00:00Z">S20W15</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-10-10T02:00:00Z">N27W47</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-10T08:35:54Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-10T08:35:54Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-10T08:35:54Z</begin><end>2021-10-10T14:35:54Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Further C-class flares remain likely from AR2882 in the north centre disk, and perhaps from a plage region in the northwest, which is rotating off disc. The M-class flare from AR2882 during the early hours of 9th UTC has resulted in the elevated M-class flare probabilities.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-10T08:00:00Z">N18W05</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-10-10T08:00:00Z">S20W19</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-10-10T08:00:00Z">N27W49</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-10T14:48:35Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-10T14:48:35Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-10T14:48:35Z</begin><end>2021-10-10T20:48:35Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Further C-class flares remain likely from AR2882 in the north centre disk, and perhaps from a plage region in the southeast. The M-class flare from AR2882 during the early hours of 9th UTC has resulted in the elevated M-class flare probabilities.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-10T14:00:00Z">N18W05</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-10-10T14:00:00Z">S20W19</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-10-10T14:00:00Z">N27W57</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-10T20:42:34Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-10T20:42:34Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-10T20:42:34Z</begin><end>2021-10-11T02:42:34Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>There has been one C2 class flare in the last 24 hours, at 09/2255 UTC, from a plage region in the southeast quadrant. Further C-class flares are possible, most likely from AR2882, but flares from other areas cannot be ruled out. The M-class flare from AR2882 during the early hours of 9th UTC has resulted in the elevated M-class flare probabilities. The current slightly increased proton levels are also the reason for the slightly raised proton storm probability.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-10T20:00:00Z">N17W12</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2884</id><location time="2021-10-10T20:00:00Z">S20W25</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2883</id><location time="2021-10-10T20:00:00Z">N27W57</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-11T03:03:21Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-11T03:03:21Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-11T03:03:21Z</begin><end>2021-10-11T09:03:21Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>There has been one C2 class flare in the last 24 hours, at 10/2302 UTC, from a region over the northwest limb. Further C-class flares are possible, most likely from AR2882, but flares from other areas cannot be ruled out. The M-class flare from AR2882 during the early hours of 9th UTC has resulted in the elevated M-class flare probabilities. The current slightly increased proton levels are also the reason for the slightly raised proton storm probability.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-11T02:00:00Z">N17W16</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2884</id><location time="2021-10-11T02:00:00Z">S20W28</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2883</id><location time="2021-10-11T02:00:00Z">N27W59</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-11T08:51:35Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-11T08:51:35Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-11T08:51:35Z</begin><end>2021-10-11T14:51:35Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>There has been one C2 class flare in the last 24 hours, at 10/2302 UTC, from a region over the northwest limb. Further C-class flares are possible, most likely from AR2882, but flares from other areas cannot be ruled out. The M-class flare from AR2882 during the early hours of 9th UTC has resulted in the elevated M-class flare probabilities. The current slightly increased proton levels are also the reason for the slightly raised proton storm probability.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-11T08:00:00Z">N17W19</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2884</id><location time="2021-10-11T08:00:00Z">S20W31</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2883</id><location time="2021-10-11T08:00:00Z">N28W62</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-11T08:51:48Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-11T08:51:48Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-11T08:51:48Z</begin><end>2021-10-11T14:51:48Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>There has been one C2 class flare in the last 24 hours, at 10/2302 UTC, from a region over the northwest limb. Further C-class flares are possible, most likely from AR2882, but flares from other areas cannot be ruled out. The M-class flare from AR2882 during the early hours of 9th UTC has resulted in the elevated M-class flare probabilities. The current slightly increased proton levels are also the reason for the slightly raised proton storm probability.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-11T08:00:00Z">N17W19</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2884</id><location time="2021-10-11T08:00:00Z">S20W31</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2883</id><location time="2021-10-11T08:00:00Z">N28W62</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-11T14:53:21Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-11T14:53:21Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-11T14:53:21Z</begin><end>2021-10-11T20:53:21Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>There has been one C2 class flare in the last 24 hours, at 10/2302 UTC, from a region over the northwest limb. Further C-class flares are possible, most likely from AR2882, but flares from other areas cannot be ruled out. The M-class flare from AR2882 during the early hours of 9th UTC has resulted in the elevated M-class flare probabilities. The current slightly increased proton levels are also the reason for the slightly raised proton storm probability.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-11T14:00:00Z">N17W21</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2884</id><location time="2021-10-11T14:00:00Z">S20W34</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2883</id><location time="2021-10-11T14:00:00Z">N28W65</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-11T20:12:22Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-11T20:12:22Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-11T20:12:22Z</begin><end>2021-10-12T02:12:22Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>There has been one C2 class flare in the last 24 hours, at 10/2302 UTC, from a region over the northwest limb. Further C-class flares are possible, most likely from AR2882, but flares from other areas cannot be ruled out. The M-class flare from AR2882 during the early hours of 9th UTC has resulted in the elevated M-class flare probabilities. The current slightly increased proton levels are also the reason for the slightly raised proton storm probability.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-11T20:00:00Z">N17W26</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2884</id><location time="2021-10-11T20:00:00Z">S20W38</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2883</id><location time="2021-10-11T20:00:00Z">N27W69</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-12T03:15:59Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-12T03:15:59Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-12T03:15:59Z</begin><end>2021-10-12T09:15:59Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>There has been one C2 class flare in the last 24 hours, at 10/2302 UTC, from a region over the northwest limb. Further C-class flares are possible, most likely from AR2882, but flares from other areas cannot be ruled out. The M-class flare from AR2882 during the early hours of 9th UTC has resulted in the elevated M-class flare probabilities. The current slightly increased proton levels are also the reason for the slightly raised proton storm probability.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-12T02:00:00Z">N17W30</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-12T08:13:31Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-12T08:13:31Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-12T08:13:31Z</begin><end>2021-10-12T14:13:31Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>AR2822 has a history of M-class flares, CMEs and producing slightly elevated solar radiation (proton counts). The region produced a near C-class flare in the period and has shown some slight areal growth, meaning that probabilities of flares are adjusted very slightly upwards from raw values.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-12T06:00:00Z">N17W29</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.24</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-12T14:31:22Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-12T14:31:22Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-12T14:31:22Z</begin><end>2021-10-12T20:31:22Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>AR2822 has a history of M-class flares, CMEs and producing slightly elevated solar radiation (proton counts). The region produced a near C-class flare in the past 24 hours. Probabilities of flares are adjusted very slightly upwards from raw values.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-12T14:00:00Z">N18W25</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.24</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-12T20:21:02Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-12T20:21:02Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-12T20:21:02Z</begin><end>2021-10-13T02:21:02Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>AR2822 has a history of M-class flares, CMEs and producing slightly elevated solar radiation (proton counts). The region produced a near C-class flare in the past 24 hours. Probabilities of C-class flares is at 25% with a 5% chance for an M-class flare.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-12T19:00:00Z">N17W39</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.24</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-13T02:45:08Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-13T02:45:08Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-13T02:45:08Z</begin><end>2021-10-13T08:45:08Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>AR2822 has a history of M-class flares, CMEs and producing slightly elevated solar radiation (proton counts). The region produced a near C-class flare in the past 24 hours. Probabilities of C-class flares is at 35% with a 5% chance for an M-class flare.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-13T02:00:00Z">N17W41</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.34</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-13T08:58:17Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-13T08:58:17Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-13T08:58:17Z</begin><end>2021-10-13T14:58:17Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>AR2822 has a history of M-class flares, CMEs and producing slightly elevated solar radiation (proton counts). The highest flare from this region in the last 24 hours was a B5, indicating signs of settling down. Probabilities of further C-class flares is at 35% with now only a 5% chance for an M-class flare.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-13T07:00:00Z">N17W44</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.34</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-13T14:54:35Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-13T14:54:35Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-13T14:54:35Z</begin><end>2021-10-13T20:54:35Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>AR2882 has a history of M-class flares, CMEs and producing slightly elevated solar radiation (proton counts). The highest flare from this region in the last 24 hours was a B5, indicating signs of settling down, but is still expelling some residual energy with continued B-flaring. A new region, developing just to the west of AR2882, is increasing and bumps the overall flare risk up a little. Probabilities of C-class flares is now at 40% but continuing with only a 5% chance for an M-class flare.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-13T14:00:00Z">N17W48</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.34</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-10-13T14:00:00Z">N16W62</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-13T20:48:58Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-13T20:48:58Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-13T20:48:58Z</begin><end>2021-10-14T02:48:58Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>AR2882 has a history of M-class flares, CMEs and producing slightly elevated solar radiation (proton counts). The highest flare from this region in the last 24 hours was a C1 at 13/1833 UTC. A new region just to the west of AR2882 is similar in size to the previous analysis. Probabilities of C-class flares is 40% but continuing with only a 5% chance for an M-class flare.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-13T20:00:00Z">N16W52</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.34</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-10-13T20:00:00Z">N15W66</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-14T02:32:51Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-14T02:32:51Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-14T02:32:51Z</begin><end>2021-10-14T08:32:51Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Further C-class flares are likely, mainly from AR2885, with an increased but still slight chance of Moderate flares.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-14T02:00:00Z">N16W55</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.24</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2885</id><location time="2021-10-14T02:00:00Z">N16W69</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-14T08:25:27Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-14T08:25:27Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-14T08:25:27Z</begin><end>2021-10-14T14:25:27Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Further C-class flares are likely, mainly from AR2885, which has taken up the mantle of activity from AR2822. There is an increased but still Slight Chance of M class flares.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-14T06:00:00Z">N17W54</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.24</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2885</id><location time="2021-10-14T06:00:00Z">N16W71</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-14T14:13:38Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-14T14:13:38Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-14T14:13:38Z</begin><end>2021-10-14T20:13:38Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>The chances of both C and M class flares have been revised to more closely match expected raw values as overnight UTC flare activity has calmed, and both spots appear stable or are simplifying.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-14T13:30:00Z">N17W58</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.24</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2885</id><location time="2021-10-14T13:30:00Z">N16W75</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-14T20:41:34Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-14T20:41:34Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-14T20:41:34Z</begin><end>2021-10-15T02:41:34Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>The chances of both C and M class flares have been revised to more closely match expected raw values as recent flare activity has been muted, and both spots appear stable or are simplifying.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-14T20:00:00Z">N16W63</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2885</id><location time="2021-10-14T20:00:00Z">N15W79</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-15T02:05:27Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-15T02:05:27Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-15T02:05:27Z</begin><end>2021-10-15T08:05:27Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Despite both regions appearing stable there is 20% chance of C-class flares due current energy levels of both regions combined, with a 5% chance of M-Class flares.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-15T01:00:00Z">N16W66</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2885</id><location time="2021-10-15T01:00:00Z">N15W82</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-15T08:23:04Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-15T08:23:04Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-15T08:23:04Z</begin><end>2021-10-15T14:23:04Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>A chance of C-class flares from AR2882 is maintained as it moves towards the west limb.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-15T08:00:00Z">N16W70</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-15T14:10:47Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-15T14:10:47Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-15T14:10:47Z</begin><end>2021-10-15T20:10:47Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>A slight chance of C-class flares from AR2882 is maintained as it moves towards the west limb.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-15T14:00:00Z">N16W73</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-15T20:01:58Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-15T20:01:58Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-15T20:01:58Z</begin><end>2021-10-16T02:01:58Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>A slight chance of C-class flares from AR2882 is maintained as it moves towards the west limb.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-15T18:00:00Z">N16W76</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-16T02:48:05Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-16T02:48:05Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-16T02:48:05Z</begin><end>2021-10-16T08:48:05Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>A slight chance of C-class flares from AR2882 is maintained as it moves towards the west limb.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-16T02:15:00Z">N16W80</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-16T08:21:42Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-16T08:21:42Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-16T08:21:42Z</begin><end>2021-10-16T14:21:42Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>A slight chance of C-class flares from AR2882 is maintained as it moves towards the west limb.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-16T07:00:00Z">N16W83</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-16T14:51:53Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-16T14:51:53Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-16T14:51:53Z</begin><end>2021-10-16T20:51:53Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>A slight chance of C-class flares from AR2882 is maintained as it continues to rotate off the visible disc.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2882</id><location time="2021-10-16T14:00:00Z">N16W87</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-16T20:13:56Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-16T20:13:56Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-16T20:13:56Z</begin><end>2021-10-17T02:13:56Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Although now out of view around the west limb, a slight chance of C-class flares from AR2882 is still maintained.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-17T02:03:03Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-17T02:03:03Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-17T02:03:03Z</begin><end>2021-10-17T08:03:03Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Although now out of view around the west limb, a slight chance of C-class flares from AR2882 is still maintained.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-17T04:32:05Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-17T04:32:05Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-17T04:32:05Z</begin><end>2021-10-17T10:32:05Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Although now out of view around the west limb, a slight chance of C-class flares from AR2882 is still maintained.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-17T08:02:48Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-17T08:02:48Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-17T08:02:48Z</begin><end>2021-10-17T14:02:48Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>There remains a slight chance of isolated C-class flares over the next 24 hours from AR2882, now located just beyond the west limb.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-17T17:28:34Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-17T17:28:34Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-17T17:28:34Z</begin><end>2021-10-17T23:28:34Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>There remains a very slight, but reducing chance of isolated C-class flares for the remainder of the UTC day from AR2882, located just beyond the west limb.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-17T20:03:58Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-17T20:03:58Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-17T20:03:58Z</begin><end>2021-10-18T02:03:58Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>There is a slight chance of isolated C-class flares from the recently emerged NEW region.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-10-17T20:00:00Z">S19E81</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-18T01:41:54Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-18T01:41:54Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-18T01:41:54Z</begin><end>2021-10-18T07:41:54Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>There is a slight chance of isolated C-class flares from the recently emerged NEW region.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-10-18T02:00:00Z">S19E78</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-18T01:45:14Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-18T01:45:14Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-18T01:45:14Z</begin><end>2021-10-18T07:45:14Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>There is a slight chance of isolated C-class flares from the recently emerged NEW region.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-10-18T02:00:00Z">S19E78</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-18T10:07:23Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-18T10:07:23Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-18T10:07:23Z</begin><end>2021-10-18T16:07:23Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is likely to remain Very Low, however there is a slight chance of C-class flares, most likely from the region near the southeast limb.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-10-18T08:00:00Z">S19E75</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-10-18T08:00:00Z">N11W33</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-18T14:55:44Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-18T14:55:44Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-18T14:55:44Z</begin><end>2021-10-18T20:55:44Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is likely to remain Very Low, however there is a slight chance of C-class flares, most likely from the region near the southeast limb.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-10-18T14:00:00Z">S19E69</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-10-18T14:00:00Z">N11W38</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2021-10-18T20:14:25Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2021-10-18T20:14:25Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2021-10-18T20:14:25Z</begin><end>2021-10-19T02:14:25Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is likely to remain Very Low, with just a small chance of C-class flares, most likely from the region near the southeast limb.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2886</id><location time="2021-10-18T20:00:00Z">S19E66</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2021-10-18T20:00:00Z">N11W41</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


