This figure shows the output image of the >500 MeV SEP predictor. This image presents three time series:
The upper time series of this image shows the recent and the predicted >500 MeV proton flux. The current flux
is
at the left of the label “now”. The predicted >500 MeV flux is presented at the right of this label. The
predicted intensity of the first 1 hour of the expected event are indicated by colours, which corresponds to
certain
intensity levels (in pfu) according to the vertical bar at the right.
The middle time series in the left image of the forecast output shows recent solar activity in terms of soft
X-rays with the corresponding X-ray flare classes (C, M, X) shown. (X-ray flux units are Watts×m-2)
The time series at the bottom of the forecast output presents the empirically-estimated level of magnetic
connectivity of the observed >500 MeV solar particles to Earth.
The Magnetic connectivity estimation is qualified into two different states, high (h) and medium (m), for the
purposes of the forecast.
The purple bar is the prediction window of the
\"all-clear\" prediction.