This figure shows the output image of the >500 MeV SEP predictor. This image presents three time series:
  • The upper time series of this image shows the recent and the predicted >500 MeV proton flux. The current flux is at the left of the label “now”. The predicted >500 MeV flux is presented at the right of this label. The predicted intensity of the first 1 hour of the expected event are indicated by colours, which corresponds to certain intensity levels (in pfu) according to the vertical bar at the right.
  • The middle time series in the left image of the forecast output shows recent solar activity in terms of soft X-rays with the corresponding X-ray flare classes (C, M, X) shown. (X-ray flux units are Watts×m-2)
  • The time series at the bottom of the forecast output presents the empirically-estimated level of magnetic connectivity of the observed >500 MeV solar particles to Earth.
  • The Magnetic connectivity estimation is qualified into two different states, high (h) and medium (m), for the purposes of the forecast.
  • The purple bar is the prediction window of the \"all-clear\" prediction.